R
rhombus
Legend
Silver Level
X * $60 + (1 - X) * (0.35 * $150) + (1 - X) * (0.65 * -$90) = 0
says: 9.09%
:congrats:
X * $60 + (1 - X) * (0.35 * $150) + (1 - X) * (0.65 * -$90) = 0
says: 9.09%
:congrats:
Fold equity
How can we ever really judge what percentage of the time someone is going to fold to a shove?
Which HUD stats can help us judge this?
Presumably related to how often they go to showdown. nervous lol.
Question 3, pg. 34: You're involved in a hand where you believe your opponent has 65% equity. There's currently $60 in the pot, and you have $90 remaining. If you shoved, how often would your opponent need to fold in order for it to be a break-even play?
Not being particularly math orientated, I can't even begin to work this out now, let alone at the table. .
My math never got this far.I have peeked at the answer and its still gobbledegook tbh
Is there a technique for quick approximation?
Yea, I would have probably burned with shame and closed that MoP Study Group if I got this wrong again Actually, I'd like to buy that Workbook of yours John. Is there any way I could just PS transfer the money to someone who could pay you...?
Hey everyone, I've been mia for a while (fine-tuning and working on my game )
Hope you guys enjoyed my assessment..
Self assessment
Aspects of Poker Score 1–10
Hand Reading (R) 7
I still feel like a quarter of the time I'm just guessing especially against looser players with wider ranges. Duggs picked me up on not being dynamic enough and narrowing ranges as we play through the streets, probably fair comment. I'm improving through constant hand analysis in the forums and replaying hands from my database.
Post-flop Bluffing (R/A) 5
I'm fine with c-betting and double barreling, I do occasionally triple but not often as a pure bluff more often than not that they are thin value. I've been studying Duggs' thread carefully and playing a bit of deep stacked myself. It is clear that to be able to make large bluffs on the end you have to be able to hand read confidently. I'm still dreaming of bluff raising turns and bluff shoving rivers for fun.
Anticipating Opponent Reactions (P) 7
I'm pretty astute as to the player types and what they are capable of, I make notes on cash game regs. Still not a master by any means.
Light Value Betting (R/A) 8
I was weak here but getting better, my first poker books were by Harrington who always advocated checking medium strength hands on the river (as nothing worse calls and you risk getting raised off the hand all together). However I would say that advice isn't true for the modern micros, just think hard before checking the river, what worse can call? if your opponent is a CS he will call with 4th pair so you can bet 2nd pair for value!
My turn cbet% is 41.6% ...River agg 30.8%
And JohnA.... Harrington did win the main event in 95 and final tabled in both 2003 and 2004 and was highly feared by his peers at that time. One of the all time greats as far as i'm concerned
Tilt Control (P) 8
I am attempting a vulcan like grip on my emotions after reading Tendler. I'm so much better at handling bad beats than I used to be not that it was ever a really big problem for me. Much of this is understanding variance properly and injecting correct logic when you feel hard done by. If anything I've recently noticed a little winners tilt and been tightening up when I get a few buy in's up at 25nl as i don't want to lose what i've won.
Calling Down Light (R) 7
Happy to when my opponents are very aggressive.
Bet Sizing (R) 5
A work in progress, this is an art form especially in tournament play. It is important not to just autopress pot/halfpot buttons. If someone is going to call make it as big as you think they will!! The terrific review of my deep run in wcoop22 by pokerschool online teacher Dave Roemer picked up my half pot tendency.
Proper Aggression (A) 5,
I'm passive and analytical in nature and it shows in my play and I'm aware and don't mind admitting it. I am attempting to up my 3betting and squeezing significantly.
Capitalizing on Opponent Weaknesses (A) 8
Understanding the player types and making full use of my HUD are part of my strengths. Stack those fish baby.
Inducing Bluffs (R) 5
Getting better but light value betting can sometimes get in the way of this, appears to be a fine balance.
Math of Poker (R) 6
I have enough to get by at the table 4+2 and pot odds, its how that relates to equity and EV that I can struggle abit.
Starting and Quitting Sessions (P) 6
Often slow to start and quick to finish. I'm not blaming myself too much here, I work full time, often very long hours (I currently haven't had a day off since last Monday and worked 30 hours at the weekend and didn't get to play at all ) I don't like forcing myself to play tired, which is why I'm doing this tonight rather than playing.
Motto
Good assessment from what I know of your game. I didn't know you were struggling with tilt so much.
With the tilt area I read a while ago now an article about imagining you are a casino owner. Your edge isn't massive over good players but overtime you will still take money off them. Every now and again a drunken punter will walk in and lump his whole stack on red on roulette or perhaps even a longer shot that that.(our gutshot equivalent)
You have to accept that he will win plenty in the case of a flip. but if he does double you know he will be back because he gets a thrill out of it.
Your bankroll is the casino bankroll. Except of course we don't have to flip with that mug punter we can wait until the odds are more in our favor before stacking off against him.
He is still going to hit a win occasionally its all part of the long term.
Thanks for the analogy i'll try and remember this when i play. But it isn't just getting unlucky vs fish that tilts me, it's also when i make a mistake (such as losing to a marginal call on the river) it distracts me for the rest of the session and i can't focus. i'm like "seriously why did i have to call there? i could have waited for a better spot" and get really annoyed with myself. it also tilts me if i make a play and lose and i'm not sure if my play was correct. i'll keep questioning that play mid session rather than focusing on new hands being dealt.
Jack Nicklaus used to play precentage golf he knew every shot he hit was a fade and the worst fade was usually maybe about 20yd, so he'd aim 10 yard left of pin.Y
I view each hand like a golf shot, once its done its done, you can't change it so let it go. You can't play every shot perfect, it just doesn't happen like that, the guy who wins at golf is usually the guy who makes the least mistakes! Poker is the same in that way as the guy who makes the least mistakes wins the most money.
Good golfers know they are also going to play the occasional shocker. These are the ones you look at afterwards to see what what wrong and improve in that area.
Good course management is a big part of golf...not taking on massively risky shots that will often fail...poker is the same.
N1, Im struggling to play recently. Internet so baddddddMixed 10nl and 20nl session on 888, 3 FR tables of each.
You seem to be even more a perfectionist than me then! I would suggest you remember losing hands is a very big part of poker. Often you will be calling against a range of hands and you will encounter situations where we beat 10 combos and lose to 10 so therefore I have to call 50% of the time. Its a game of incomplete information, even if you are playing to the highest possible EV than you will still be making plenty of mistakes its the nature of the game.
I view each hand like a golf shot, once its done its done, you can't change it so let it go. You can't play every shot perfect, it just doesn't happen like that, the guy who wins at golf is usually the guy who makes the least mistakes! Poker is the same in that way as the guy who makes the least mistakes wins the most money.
Good golfers know they are also going to play the occasional shocker. These are the ones you look at afterwards to see what what wrong and improve in that area.
Good course management is a big part of golf...not taking on massively risky shots that will often fail...poker is the same.
Are the answers on the right,I'm going through several examples of where the equity answers displayed are way over what I would consider probable using TAG opening ranges.
In the Ah7h example we are up against a MP1 who 3 bet an utg opening so i gave MP1 a 5% range.
Using an equity calc I make Ah7h no more than 28% equity on the turn yet all the answers are over 50%
example 2 with the KK I gave the opener (who was utg2 and called the KK 3bet a 10% range) which gives KK about 40% equity on the turn. To get the displayed right answer of 66-69% we need to give the opener a 60% opening range.....I'm confused
John
Ok I'm doing some work using the ace poker drills equity trainer.
I've had it since 2013 and have only ever used it for preflop scenarios in which I usually score 85-90%.
I have just discovered you can use it for flop, turn and river examples via the setting drill type menu. Doh... I'm scoring 70% is on the flop but on the turn I'm way off down at 25%. Sometimes I'm close but often with unpaired high over cards that have missed the flop i'm way out, usually I'm erring too low.
There is some very laggly play with some questionable preflop calls and plenty of raising on the flop with 2nd pair. Did these hands actually come out of someones 100nl database or did you just make em up? If these are real hands I'm definitely not ready for 100nl!!
On the FR table what sort of ranges should we be giving the utg openers and three bettors in these scenarios. I've been working on around 9% and 5% is that about right for FR?