I know it seems funny, and if theres one more player im getting it in too. I just don't like to risk my tournament in these spots, if he has AJ, were getting value from it regardless id imagine, in fact, were getting value from any ace. I just don't want to bet this flop, as the only real threat is random flushdraws... i mean, how many outs do we expect to be giving players here? if he has any pocket pairs were giving him two outs. if he has an ace withwhatever kicker, we might be giving him3 outs. sure, on occasion, he may just have a flush draw here, but it's very unlikely.
Im by no means saying he played it badly, im just pointing out, that with the bubble situation, there may be an alternate route. We still get value, we give free cards, sure, but im happier to TRY and play a smaller pot. Im never folding here, but ill try to not go all in by the river.
So, really, we may be sacrificing a little value, but we pick up value from bluffs, and we keep the pot smaller, and avoid getting it in risking our tournament, when we have nearly 3 times as many chips as the short stack. Im pretty sure it would be a mistake, while a small one, to get it in here vs a flush draw. We hate flipping on the bubble, pre or postflop. id have to stove it, we probably have 60-65% here. not sure though.