I have played 90k hands in 5NL and my results when I had TPTK or TPGK on the flop and saw showdown are +0.52$ from 213 hands (4.88 bb/100). That includes loads of brutal and hilarious bad beats, some of which have been posted hereabout.
If I saw showdown with TPTP or TPGK it changes to -3.08$ from 132 hands for -47 bb/100.
The shoe speaks wisdom. Bet/folding is your friend, especially on the river.
Edit: Actually the tightening up versus aggrofish thing is open for debate, but otherwise solid stuff.
I learned to watch out for flushes early. Straights were/are more difficult since I find it hard to wrap my mind around people calling pot sized bets with gutshots and hitting them so often.
Since there are very often possible straights on the board, it is hard to estimate when they have hit it and when not especially with weird ass ranges that are hard to guess (example from yesterday https://www.cardschat.com/forum/cash-game-hand-analysis-50/5-nlhe-full-ring-qq-utg-225986/).
That hand played out unfortunately for you but a passive fish who calls a raise with 58o then calls a good sized flop bet with a double gutter[...], and a turn bet with [...] bottom pair and a double gutter straight draw is definitely someone you want to have at your table! He didn't bet the river though so you lost the minimum really. Did you stick around and stack him later?
You really think he recognized the double gutshot while instacalling? Hardly, I guess he saw one gutshot and went for it.
PLAY 6MAX. Your tilty brain will thank you.TPTK is not even remotely good enough vs these guys, by the river someone will outdraw it unless TPTK also improves. I am now thinking spec hands are best vs schools of fish, they are gonna pay off enough to make it pay.
Uh, not with a lot of people in pot. Statistically if you have AK and there's 4 people in the pot with you, each with a VPIP of 30%, the odds of them having better than your top pair, King (on a board that isn't 3straight, 3flush or paired) are about 1/3. Paired boards kick that number up a notch, and in monotone or 3straight flops, statistically you're dead over half the time (but will still get very good implied odds if you can get more than one villain to continue with a worse range, so smallballing is a decent option -- just expect to get coolered the majority of the time).cmon man, everyone is telling you you are wrong, and this comment is so very wrong, hell second pair no kicker is often the nuts at 5nl.
Don't underestimate the fish. Fish are hopeless optimists, seeing the best possibilities for their hands. They may not understand how unlikely improvement is, but they know it's possible.
Also, your turn bet gave him straight odds to make the call. So he didn't even make a mistake there. I doubt he knew that it wasn't a mistake. He likely doesn't think that way. But, his call was correct. You should have bet bigger on the turn. Half pot doesn't get full value from your hand and makes these wild calls mathematically correct.
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You need 65 good posts.chardschat $100 pass plz
PLAY 6MAX. Your tilty brain will thank you.
Uh, not with a lot of people in pot. Statistically if you have AK and there's 4 people in the pot with you, each with a VPIP of 30%, the odds of them having better than your top pair, King (on a board that isn't 3straight, 3flush or paired) are about 1/3. Paired boards kick that number up a notch, and in monotone or 3straight flops, statistically you're dead over half the time (but will still get very good implied odds if you can get more than one villain to continue with a worse range, so smallballing is a decent option -- just expect to get coolered the majority of the time).
Dude's on tilt because he can't do any fancy moves, every pot he's in is like 4-way, he gets coolered all the time. There is one simple solution to that: Stop ****ing playing in a crammed table.WTF are you even on about lol?
Pretty much everything you've said sounds majorly like tilt, but you know yourself best I guess.Dunno if I am on tilt though.
Well like, you can get paid off huge in multiway pots vs loose fish, so that's where your profit comes from is you have no FE (such as when your villains stubbornly school together, which is what this thread is about).Yeah playing speculative hands is great vs fish, mostly because a vital factor in showing a profit with these hands is being able to take advantage of your fold equity.