Fish schooling (as in similar to shoaling)

LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
I like folding, nits are the easiest to win against 'cause they are so obvious. Not having to have a hand to win is pretty great.
 
vinnie

vinnie

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 12, 2013
Total posts
1,208
Awards
1
US
Chips
50
I have played 90k hands in 5NL and my results when I had TPTK or TPGK on the flop and saw showdown are +0.52$ from 213 hands (4.88 bb/100). That includes loads of brutal and hilarious bad beats, some of which have been posted hereabout.

If I saw showdown with TPTP or TPGK it changes to -3.08$ from 132 hands for -47 bb/100.

This number of showdowns means your winrate amounts to one bad call. If you fold to one raise, you're +bb/100 instead of -bb/100. Can you rerun this with the same filter except filtering out all the times you were raised and then you called.

These are also very small sample sizes for both types of hands. It only takes 1-2 bad beats or lucky breaks to swing the winrate massively up or down. You can't really draw any conclusions from hand samples of 213 and 132 hands. I was going to post my numbers for those situations (+859bb/100 & +1597bb/100 respectively) but the sample sizes are both really tiny (under 100 hands). So it's pretty meaningless. I have a small sample size for 5nl. I moved up to 10nl on my current site really quickly because I knew I could win there and had built a roll to handle it.

Anyway, 90k hands and you can't beat 5nl? You have got to have some serious leaks in your game and players being too willing to put money in when they're behind is probably not one of them. I've beat 5nl on multiple sites. It can be done.
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
Most TPTK hands don't get to showdown, either I get raised and decide I am beat or they fold to the barreling.

- If I bet and got raised, I lost 2 out of 3 hands (both to sets, one of the two was improved to top 2 pairs on the turn). Amounts I called and lost were around -3.3$ total.
- If I barreled twice and got donked into on the river, I lost 3 out of 4, total loss -2.9$. Once a flopped set, others were draws that arrived and a rivered A vs my pair of Kings. One of these times my hand improved to a set of Kings on the way (lost to a straight).
 
honeycrush

honeycrush

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jun 5, 2012
Total posts
1,488
Awards
2
Chips
26
Although I agree with the fact that it's more difficult to play against a table full of maniac fish rather than just one or two on a table, 5nl is definitely beatable. And that's coming from someone (me!) who only started playing recently and that has had a lot of trouble at that level.

My main problem was calling too many river raises when the flush or straight inevitably came on the river. I couldn't believe that every time they would not fold to my huge bets and would catch their cards on the river. But guess what - they did! :D Maybe something similar is happening to you.

If passive fish raise you on the river then the majority of the time - unless you have the nuts - you need to fold. Even TPTK is no good here. But if the flush/straight or whatever doesn't come in then you MUST value bet.

It only takes a few bad all-in calls to decimate your winrate. Those losses can be increased by not getting the most value from the fish who call down to the river to chase and miss. Against aggrofish you just need to tighten up and get the money in good. Of course there will be coolers and suckouts but a lot of these will be cancelled out by the many small pots you win by raising and cbetting and getting folds.

Anyway - good luck! Hope things turn around for you. If you listen to all the good advice you've been given, I'm sure they will. :)
 
D

DunningKruger

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Feb 7, 2013
Total posts
1,030
Chips
0
The shoe speaks wisdom. Bet/folding is your friend, especially on the river.

Edit: Actually the tightening up versus aggrofish thing is open for debate, but otherwise solid stuff.
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
I learned to watch out for flushes early. Straights were/are more difficult since I find it hard to wrap my mind around people calling pot sized bets with gutshots and hitting them so often.

Since there are very often possible straights on the board, it is hard to estimate when they have hit it and when not especially with weird ass ranges that are hard to guess (example from yesterday https://www.cardschat.com/forum/cash-game-hand-analysis-50/5-nlhe-full-ring-qq-utg-225986/).
 
honeycrush

honeycrush

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jun 5, 2012
Total posts
1,488
Awards
2
Chips
26
The shoe speaks wisdom. Bet/folding is your friend, especially on the river.

Edit: Actually the tightening up versus aggrofish thing is open for debate, but otherwise solid stuff.

Thanks. :)

By tightening up I mean don't try to play them at their own game by calling with trashy hands and hoping to hit miracle cards like they do. That often ends in tears... I know. I've been there. :(
 
honeycrush

honeycrush

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jun 5, 2012
Total posts
1,488
Awards
2
Chips
26
I learned to watch out for flushes early. Straights were/are more difficult since I find it hard to wrap my mind around people calling pot sized bets with gutshots and hitting them so often.

Since there are very often possible straights on the board, it is hard to estimate when they have hit it and when not especially with weird ass ranges that are hard to guess (example from yesterday https://www.cardschat.com/forum/cash-game-hand-analysis-50/5-nlhe-full-ring-qq-utg-225986/).

That hand played out unfortunately for you but a passive fish who calls a raise with 58o then calls a good sized flop bet with a gut shot, and a turn bet with just bottom pair is definitely someone you want to have at your table! He didn't bet the river though so you lost the minimum really. Did you stick around and stack him later?
 
vinnie

vinnie

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 12, 2013
Total posts
1,208
Awards
1
US
Chips
50
That hand played out unfortunately for you but a passive fish who calls a raise with 58o then calls a good sized flop bet with a double gutter[...], and a turn bet with [...] bottom pair and a double gutter straight draw is definitely someone you want to have at your table! He didn't bet the river though so you lost the minimum really. Did you stick around and stack him later?

Fixed that for you. On the flop any 10 or 6 makes a straight for the fish. On the turn, any 10, 6, 5, or 8 improves his hand to two pair or better.

On the flop, he can think he had 8 outs. Getting 2.3-1 [needs 4.6-1] it's a loose peel (especially since not all of his outs are clean). There is a lot of money left in the stacks though, so he might believe he has implied odds. On the turn, he had 13 outs to improve (again, not all of them are clean) and he's getting 2.95-1 [needs at least 2.5-1 to call]. He still might believe the straight will be good enough to win, but he also has position and a lot of outs to improve.

I'm not claiming his play is good. It's clearly not. But, don't make it out to be worse than it is. There is logic behind these "poor" plays that we see. It's not random button-clicking.
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
You really think he recognized the double gutshot while instacalling? :) Hardly, I guess he saw one gutshot and went for it.
 
vinnie

vinnie

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 12, 2013
Total posts
1,208
Awards
1
US
Chips
50
You really think he recognized the double gutshot while instacalling? :) Hardly, I guess he saw one gutshot and went for it.

Don't underestimate the fish. Fish are hopeless optimists, seeing the best possibilities for their hands. They may not understand how unlikely improvement is, but they know it's possible.

Also, your turn bet gave him straight odds to make the call. So he didn't even make a mistake there. I doubt he knew that it wasn't a mistake. He likely doesn't think that way. But, his call was correct. You should have bet bigger on the turn. Half pot doesn't get full value from your hand and makes these wild calls mathematically correct.

Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk 4 Beta
 
Aleksei

Aleksei

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Feb 20, 2013
Total posts
1,527
Chips
0
TPTK is not even remotely good enough vs these guys, by the river someone will outdraw it unless TPTK also improves. I am now thinking spec hands are best vs schools of fish, they are gonna pay off enough to make it pay.
PLAY 6MAX. Your tilty brain will thank you.

cmon man, everyone is telling you you are wrong, and this comment is so very wrong, hell second pair no kicker is often the nuts at 5nl.
Uh, not with a lot of people in pot. Statistically if you have AK and there's 4 people in the pot with you, each with a VPIP of 30%, the odds of them having better than your top pair, King (on a board that isn't 3straight, 3flush or paired) are about 1/3. Paired boards kick that number up a notch, and in monotone or 3straight flops, statistically you're dead over half the time (but will still get very good implied odds if you can get more than one villain to continue with a worse range, so smallballing is a decent option -- just expect to get coolered the majority of the time).
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
Don't underestimate the fish. Fish are hopeless optimists, seeing the best possibilities for their hands. They may not understand how unlikely improvement is, but they know it's possible.

Also, your turn bet gave him straight odds to make the call. So he didn't even make a mistake there. I doubt he knew that it wasn't a mistake. He likely doesn't think that way. But, his call was correct. You should have bet bigger on the turn. Half pot doesn't get full value from your hand and makes these wild calls mathematically correct.

Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk 4 Beta

Well I didn't think 5 helped him so I reduced bet size to string him along. Of course that is incorrect since he calls anyway and also since trying to guess his range is just silly.
 
acky100

acky100

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 22, 2010
Total posts
3,523
Chips
0
PLAY 6MAX. Your tilty brain will thank you.


Uh, not with a lot of people in pot. Statistically if you have AK and there's 4 people in the pot with you, each with a VPIP of 30%, the odds of them having better than your top pair, King (on a board that isn't 3straight, 3flush or paired) are about 1/3. Paired boards kick that number up a notch, and in monotone or 3straight flops, statistically you're dead over half the time (but will still get very good implied odds if you can get more than one villain to continue with a worse range, so smallballing is a decent option -- just expect to get coolered the majority of the time).


WTF are you even on about lol? Your already qualified for the freeroll club stop spouting off irrelevant bs all the time!
 
Aleksei

Aleksei

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Feb 20, 2013
Total posts
1,527
Chips
0
WTF are you even on about lol?
Dude's on tilt because he can't do any fancy moves, every pot he's in is like 4-way, he gets coolered all the time. There is one simple solution to that: Stop ****ing playing in a crammed table.
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
Dunno if I am on tilt though. I usually stop playing when I get fed up.
 
Hartaka

Hartaka

Enthusiast
Silver Level
Joined
Jun 17, 2013
Total posts
43
Chips
0
ok i played similar tables and i will give you an advice. think of it this way:
one pair hand is strong in hu situation but if you are playing AK or AQ or big pairs its not that good anymore against multiple players. if they are fish they will call you to the river and beat you. if there is alot of players in the pot that mean you get the odds to play connectors and suited cards. its ridiculous you get to play draws and set mine all the time and you will get big pots. im sure if you give it a try it will work for you. and remember do not make mistakes on the river and do not bluff !!!
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
I am now starting to play more speculative hands and so far results have been pretty great... very small sample though and I do tend to play strong draws aggressively, which helps a lot.
 
acky100

acky100

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 22, 2010
Total posts
3,523
Chips
0
Yeah playing speculative hands is great vs fish, mostly because a vital factor in showing a profit with these hands is being able to take advantage of your fold equity. WP
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
Sarcasm? :D

I meant that when I hit the draws the pot is already moderately big and I can get value on the river, while if I miss I can give up on the river and not pay off. The difference is the profit.

If a miracle happens and everybody actually folds, even better plus I get the benefit that I play big draws and sets in the same way so anybody taking notes has a slightly more complicated job.
 
Aleksei

Aleksei

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Feb 20, 2013
Total posts
1,527
Chips
0
Yeah playing speculative hands is great vs fish, mostly because a vital factor in showing a profit with these hands is being able to take advantage of your fold equity.
Well like, you can get paid off huge in multiway pots vs loose fish, so that's where your profit comes from is you have no FE (such as when your villains stubbornly school together, which is what this thread is about).
 
LD1977

LD1977

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Dec 22, 2012
Total posts
3,091
Chips
0
That is my reasoning too.

It seems that in these situations people mostly put me on some kind of TP hand and try to outdraw me, so if I am instead drawing to a (ideally nut) straight/flush then their 2 pairs and weak straights are not so wonderful anymore.
 
RodneyC86

RodneyC86

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Jul 15, 2012
Total posts
592
Chips
0
Aleksei has a point here IMO, acky

When so many people decide to brawl in a multiway again and again and willing to attempt to outdraw by calling each other right until the river, I think the NLHE game essentially becomes more or less a Limit game, and we all know at microstakes Limit games The Aces and Kings and whatever combination thereoff gets sucked out very often.

Having said that, raise your big aces way larger to discourage multiway.
Standard raise speculative hands.

Fish 'probably' won't give much note to your bet sizing preflop?

Btwm do this only on fish infested tables like how you describe.

Alternatively, if you hate to gamble with fish and want a proper game, GTFO, now.
 
Top