Alright, I guess it's time to get another discussion going, though my last attempt failed miserably. I'm going to volunteer myself as the case study for this one.
I'm currently playing 25nl FR, and things aren't going the best. While I'm absolutely certain that a large part of my losses have come from coolers and bad beats, I'm not going to say I don't have any leaks either. That being said, I'm going to post my graph and stats. Let's pick apart some of the things that we find that may be contributing to my lack of a win-rate.
Looking at these stats, I've noticed several things that are big leaks in my game. The stat isn't in the image, but my W$WSF is 33.9. Not sure what to think of that. My WTSD% is quite low, and I'm thinking it suggests that I'm a bit weak-tight post flop. Additionally, my W$SD% is very high, which I'm guessing suggests that I'm usually only trying to take the nuts to the river, and not really extracting thinner value with more mediocre type hands. My 3-bet % is low, but I'm not sure if that is a huge leak at 25NL, since it's not really necessary to 3-bet light. I'm wondering if I should just 3-bet more in position though, although I'm unsure of what range of hands and against what opponents to do so with.
I think your wtsd # is fine. w$wsf is on the low side , most likely a result of low cbet % and low post flop aggression. Missing value could definately be a factor.
I'm also aware that my steal % is pretty low, but to be honest it just seems like EVERY time I try to steal I'm getting played back at. I'm probably just imagining things, but I'd also to hear thoughts on what types of villians are best to steal from. If I'm on the button and it's been folded to me and I'm looking down at Q4o, I'm generally just fold against a station that's in the small blind. Although I have position, I don't feel like I have any post flop edge with a mediocre hand and no fold equity against a calling station.
Check out your steal success percentage and see what it says, I'd be suprised if this number was below 50%. I dont think you are getting played back at as much as you think you are. Sometimes you'll have sessions where it happens a lot and you may just be running into hands or you have some aggros in the blinds. Most players just play thier game and dont adjust.
You can steal a lot more from the nittier players obv, you can raise any 2 there. Vs the stations high cards will generally do a bit better, since its not uncommon to flop top pair and jsut value bet the crap out of them, while they call with thier gutshots and runner runner draws. If you honestly think you have no fold equity then you should be able to easily get 2-3 streets of value
My c-bet% is obviously a bit low as well. Again, I have a fear of being played back at if I'm c-betting lots. I've been trying to pick the right flops (dry boards, low paired boards, etc.) rather than just blindly firing out a c-bet, but my % is still low. What's a good % to have in 25nl FR? I'm thinking 50-55% would be optimal? Thoughts would be appreciated.
If your cbetting and have little to no equity, there is no reason to be worried about getting played back at. I don't think that is the situation you may be referring to though. You'll probably make a little more money cbetting more often IMO.
Finally, my non-showdown winnings speak for themselves. It's quite a shame how much value I'm giving up post flop. This is the part of my game that needs work the most. Knowing when to call down, when to raise and protect hands (even if it's just TPGK), etc. I mentioned in a previous post that having non-showdown winnings going slightly down is pretty standard at the lowest levels, but I think at the level I am now, I can start to at least break-even in non-showdown pots instead of having a direct mirror image of my showdown winnings. My graph is ugly, but the point of this whole investigation is to turn things around and hopefully get a nice discussion on some of these leaks. Thanks in advance for the feedback, guys.
Edit: Just realized these stats and graph also include my 6-max hands at 25nl. Bah, after running the filter, the stats are still pretty damn close, so it shouldn't make that much of a difference when you're analyzing.