i see why your prefer intuition over logic, because what you have said in the bolded part is absolutely stupid.
but i think your 'intuition' might be you giving yourself way too much credit for -ev plays that worked out in your favor. at least for the example you've provided.
of course, a little bit of both but i do lean toward the logic side. it would be interesting to keep a total of how many stated logic vs. intuition.