Because unless you picked right at the start (1 in 3 times) the other door is always the car after the host eliminates a goat door.
Hmm, or,
You have a basket that includes one door that had a 1 in 3 chance,
or a basket that includes 2 doors, that had a 2 in 3 chance,
so if you choose the basket that has two doors, you have the original 2 in 3 chance?
yeah, pretty much
i think the logic of it makes more sense to some people if you can expand it to something ridiculous like 1 million doors. that's what made it make the most sense to me
say there's a million doors, 1 has a car behind it, the rest have goats. we think goats are cool but we're trying to win the car. so you pick door #1. before opening it, the host, knowing which door has the car behind it, opens ALL the other doors except door #56,700, and reveals they all have goats. then he asks you if you'd like to switch your pick. you damn well better switch it! either your initial 1 in a million pick was right, or it's the only door he specifically chose not to open (because he can't reveal the car to you). thus it should be apparent that it's almost a lock (99.999...%) to be behind door #56,700. it's the very same concept with only 3 doors, 4 doors, 5 doors, and so on, just to a much lesser degree
I flat 100%. 3-betting is OK if your 3-betting in that spot is very tight and you can get away with it as a bluff (you kinda need him to fold most bigger aces for it to make sense), but I can't.pretty interesting discussion going on on 2p2 (but in a retarded way)
the situation is sb opens 50%
hero has A5o in the bb.
3bet or flat ?
(i think both have merits but i cant decide which i like better, nor put my reasoning why into a coherent sentence)
The only adjustment he can make besides tightening up his stealing frequency (which is a much smarter adjustment), right. I don't typically shove-bluff often, because so far I haven't had to. If I would run into someone who starts to 4-bet me a ton, I'd start adding A2s-A5s to my 3-betting range with the purpose of shoving with them. I'm also adding 99+ and AQ to my value range in that case (AQ isn't really for value, but you know what I mean). I'm shoving something like 6% in that case, I think.btw i saw FP said something about the only adjustment sb can make is 4bet/fold more, does this imply you 5bet bluff shove a lot from BB ?
FWIW, my 3-bet% in BB vs an SB open is 35%. And that's against all opponents, some of which are shorties or fish or just don't open wide in SB. Versus a wide-opening reg, I just don't fold. I flat if I think my hand is strong enough, and I 3-bet if it isn't. The beauty of it is that your stats in BB are "masked" by which I mean that there's no trivial stat available in a HEM popup that shows what you do in BB vs specifically an SB open (at least not that I use, and I don't think most people do) so they're going to suspect your range is wide, but not THAT wide. Similar argument goes for when you 3bet from the BB versus some other position: They're going to see that your BB 3-betting percentage is high, and be wrong about your range. When they're wrong, you gain.
Nifty, yes?
Ah, no. I 3-bet for value too, obviously. Typically just TT+,AK at first, and ATs/AJo/99+/KQs once it's clear that he's started calling me light.
I've yet to come across any reg, mindless or not, who's adjusting well to this. How would YOU adjust to it, even now that you have perfect information about my ranges?
I think I am rated C in those categories, I am just too aggressive.
pretty interesting discussion going on on 2p2 (but in a retarded way)
the situation is sb opens 50%
hero has A5o in the bb.
3bet or flat ?
(i think both have merits but i cant decide which i like better, nor put my reasoning why into a coherent sentence)
I flat 100%. 3-betting is OK if your 3-betting in that spot is very tight and you can get away with it as a bluff (you kinda need him to fold most bigger aces for it to make sense), but I can't.
By the way, forgot to add my thoughts on this. From what it looks like we need to get 5 points a day to get the $$$, otherwise it wouldn't say the "Earn at least five bonus points on any five days during Take 2 to get $5 in cash" line. I have the checkmark for today already as well, but I am thinking that might be a glitch from how the old Take2 was.
nah one time i met someone on the internet who seemed like they would mug me
btw any of y'all gonna be in Vegas for wsop? I've gone the last few years in a row always go with a group of friends I know from around here but would definitely be up for meeting some of you fine folks. I haven't posted here too much but you guys don't seem like the type to mug me