Originally Posted by Tobysonoma
To everyone thanks for the advice. I'm still figuring it all out of what to do. Taking time off is essential I think. While playing through it might be the best option.
I really appreciate all your advice. But when I've played 100 plus nights of poker with villain (weak player that likes to gamble) and I know how he plays I have a pretty good read, maybe not 100% but in that hand I put him on a big flush draw on the flop when he bet 35 into a $70 pot OOP as a blocking bet. I made it 90 and he flatted I was 90% positive. When I ship/overbet the pot on the turn after he checks with no club by 70% and he turns over his cards and says well it's getting late and I do have a nut flush draw (king high)I'd say my read was accurate. Live is a bit different from online in my view as you get to see a persons mental state. And FWIW I average about $40 an hour playing 2-5 and occasionally 1-3 when there's a lot of dead money there, not enough to brag but good for a rookie I think and means I can't be that bad. I don't feel I always put it in good but no one does. I've only been playing a year but luckily started out making money and have only had one losing month (-2845) every other month has been break even or a winner. I definitely need to work on my mental game but who doesnt.
I have no problem with you assigning a high probability to villain having a draw. My problem is with your saying that you KNEW he had a draw (before he flipped his cards over). Furthermore, your hand reading isn't nearly as good as you think it is. Like most people, you remember the times you're right far better than the times you are wrong. This phenomenon is not exclusive to you. It applies to 99% of all live poker players --- and messes with most of their heads without them being aware of it.
No one said that you that you're a bad player. I simply said that your mental game needs work and that, if you continue to lose, it's because you're bad --- not because you're "unlucky".
And, in answer to your final statement/question, I don't need to work on my mental game. You can look through all my posts here and you won't find ANY complaining about bad beats or bad luck, because I don't do it. Variance is part of the game, and I accept that completely. Like everyone, I get frustrated when I run bad --- but I don't complain about it, nor do I tilt. Ever. That's one of several reasons that I'm playing for a living and winning.
NO ONE should EVER post asking what to do about getting cards in good and running bad. EVER. You can't control the card runout, and either can anyone else (that isn't cheating). All you can do is get your chips in ahead and then let randomness do its thing. If you do that consistently, you will win in the long run. Guaranteed.
Stop playing the victim and accept variance. Evaluate your play based on how you got them in, not the results (AIA your win/loss amount). When you can consistently do those things then you have a chance to be a good player. Until then, best case is you're mediocre.