Set over set over set, what are the odds?

[GLG-man]

Just wait till you get over quads, I lost almost $800 I had pocket 10's and the flop came 10 10 K so we got in raising match the turn was another K raise match the pot was know about 1400 I thought for sure I had it the rive was like a 6 so I went all in and he rolled over pocket kings I was stunned , That was most of my bankroll.

bankroll management??? .........

 

[nevadanick]

Bankroll management??? .........

^ ^ ^ this ... exactly !!!! What would any good player be doing with "most of their BR" in play on one table ??? 'doh

Lesson learned ???

 

[woody19]

very rare i havent seen set over set over set fo atleast 6 months it happens once and a whie just like the royal

 

[cardplayer52]

One step further, what are the odds that 2 of the sets could be quads by showdown, and which sets would they be? Bottom? Middle? Top? ...

if your saying there is already 3 sets on the flop. then the odds of 2 quad over quads at showdown is 519 to 1. its too funny but i was going to add this to my previous post as i knew the question was coming.

---its too early for me to do math. but i figure we know 9 cards after the flop. 40(unknown)/3(outs to fill quads) X 42(unknown after turn)/2(outs to fill quads). so the odds of quads over quads after the flop is 519 to 1 or 1/520.(i think). as far as which would be which the bottom set will never be top quads. these are the same odds a some one that needs a runner runner set. reminds me of a bad beat i took before i had AQ vs AJ on a Q high rainbow board. got all in they got running J's to hit there set and ko me out of a tourney 3 from the money. maybe 3 years ago still the worst beat ive taken.

 

[damon789]

Oh the Pain

Just wait till you get over quads, I lost almost $800 I had pocket 10's and the flop came 10 10 K so we got in raising match the turn was another K raise match the pot was know about 1400 I thought for sure I had it the rive was like a 6 so I went all in and he rolled over pocket kings I was stunned , That was most of my bankroll.

I feel ya, I flopped quad tens guy runner runnered Js to hit higher quads lol lucky it was only micro $7 pot i think pretty sick.

 

[cardplayer52]

I feel ya, I flopped quad tens guy runner runnered Js to hit higher quads lol lucky it was only micro $7 pot i think pretty sick.

989 to 1 to "catch perfect".

 

[teabagger357]

You know in Hard Rock casino ... you would be celebrating because you would get something like !$200 000 -$300 000 bad beat jackpot. Last time i was there it was like 500k .If your Quads or better get beat you get half of the jackpot and the rest of the table gets to split the other half. You have to have a pair in your hand and i believe Quads have to be higher than 4's or 5's ..something like that. I thought it was pretty cool!

Yeah it was poker stars no bad beat there. this was also about five years ago to. I don't think there where to many bad beat jackpots then.

 

[jrinthelc]

I saw a friend of mine lose a hand at the Bellagio straight flush over straight flush. Both hands flopped with one played on the big blind and the next player under the gun. what are the odds on that?

 

[cardplayer52]

if your saying there is already 3 sets on the flop. then the odds of 2 quad over quads at showdown is 519 to 1. its too funny but i was going to add this to my previous post as i knew the question was coming.

---its too early for me to do math. but i figure we know 9 cards after the flop. 40(unknown)/3(outs to fill quads) X 42(unknown after turn)/2(outs to fill quads). so the odds of quads over quads after the flop is 519 to 1 or 1/520.(i think). as far as which would be which the bottom set will never be top quads. these are the same odds a some one that needs a runner runner set. reminds me of a bad beat i took before i had AQ vs AJ on a Q high rainbow board. got all in they got running J's to hit there set and ko me out of a tourney 3 from the money. maybe 3 years ago still the worst beat ive taken.

i accually know the real answer. the odds of 3 pairs dealt if nine players are in the hnd is .012 or 1.2%. but my math was off. its 6/46 x 4/45 x 2/44 which is 45540 / .012 = 3,795,000. so the odds are 3,794,999 to 1 of set over set over set.

 

[Ernster86]

Yep it sucks, happened to me today. I had set of 3's VS set of 10's. Hard to not lose your money when the board doesnt look dangerous.

 

[witl69]

Wow not only is that extremely rare but ya got to admit its weird too and just think 3 different players all think they have so called hit lightening on the flop and are suckering the others in ...a dream come true but not if someone else got the higher set as in this case... a nightmare come to live.. too bad you didnt take a screen shot of it would of been a very intersting hand to see.

 

[moeraj]

Ive never seen more set over set anywhere than I have on ft,so not so farfetched to have 3rd set show up . It seems to be a lot rarer on other sites though,but not as rare online as live .

 

[cardplayer52]

ok i was way way off. the odds of set over set over set is only 158,043 to 1. but people this isnt set over set. this is set over set over set. 3 sets not just 2.

 

[8Michael3]

I know how the other guy feels... I had top set when it happened on bodog as well-early this year. Yeas, everybody had their entire $50 + stack in the middle by the turn.

 

[M33K3R]

It happened to me on pokerstars. I had 66 another guy had 99 and the third guy had JJ. The only time I've ever seen it.