PLO Odds question

[Eugenius]

Anyone know this off the top of your head?

If your PLO hand is a 1-gapper and the flop hits your gap but no other useful cards, what are your chances of runner-runnering the strait?

Both for when the gap is in the middle and at the bottom (since only donks play the top gap).

 

[Effexor]

I'm going to estimate here so don't sqabble over the math.

Lets say you are dealt 7,8,10,J and the flop is 9 4 2.

The odds that you will hit one of your cards on the turn is 20 outs, or about 40%. (you need a 6,7,8,10,J or Q) Lets say that card is a 8. Now on the river, you need either a 6,7,10,J or Q which is 17 outs or about 34%.

40% of 34% is about 13%.


so about 13% chance