After grinding for a month online, play live and feel like it's a complete waste of time, I see maybe a couple hundred hands tops, stack KK vs 55 on the turn folded to me on the button I raise both blinds call, flop is 5xx with flush and straight draws, villain check/calls and donks blank turn, I raise villain shoves I call, can't see how I fold there given the board?
Secondly I open KQs from MP, get 3 callers (HJ, BTN and SB), flop is KQT 2 spades, SB donks 1/3 pot, I pot, HJ folds, BTN flats, SB Shoves. You can't possibly fold top two to a sb donk and shove when they cold call pre, I overshove BTN calls, blank turn and river SB shows AJo for broadway and BTN announces a flush draw with a queen, FML.
I could have taken a couple buy in swong at the beginning of a session online and possibly recuperated my loss into a profit by the time 2000 hands have passed, meh, hate to say it but I want become a 'rakeback nit' and curl up in my own little world!
One thing that drives me nuts about All-in EV... Just about every one of my big dips in AIEV is from when I got it all-in preflop with AA or KK. I have never understood how this can come out to -EV as, at least with AA, it is the best possible scenario for you because you have the best possible preflop hand. That's my rant on math...
Well say for example you get 2 $10 stacks in AA vs KK, roughly 4:1 to win pre flop when the chips go in, therefore if you run this a bazillion times you expect to win $16 in the long run. When you're hand holds up one time you win $20. This is +$4 from your
expected value and will appear as -$4 on your EV graph.