I'm a losing player, help me become a winning one

LuckyChippy

LuckyChippy

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Looking at calling 3-bets OOP. I've been stoving quite a bit and I can't hit on a range that would be proftable at all against a purely value 3-bet range, even "bad" 3-betters (JJ+,ATs+,KJs+,AJo+,KJo+). JJ/1010 is about 50/50 and JJ-TT,AQs-AJs,AQo is the same. Basically just don't bother?
 
LuckyChippy

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Adding QQ tips it slightly in our favour. Not much though.
 
NineLions

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Why is your VPIP/PFR increasing as you've tried higher levels? Is that intentional, thinking that better opponents with fold more, or is it that those hands are more recent history and you've changed your game? Or is there no known reason? I'm asking this out of curiosity as much as anything.
 
Stu_Ungar

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Well I play FR rather than 6max so you will have to help me here.. what 3bet range are you giving the average 10nl and 25nl 6max player?
 
Poker Orifice

Poker Orifice

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If you consider switching over to MTT/SNG play, give me a pm & I'll try to help you out a bit.
 
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Skaplun

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you dont have a leak, you have the overbearing ego of a child who succeeded.
You started playing probably with starry eyes and anxious to learn. you were hesitant and took every hand you got with a grain of salt. look at your 2NL stats 12\10!!
and then you wen up to 22\20... wtf??
you wanna tell me you learned how to play all those hands profiably?
you are 3betting 8%... why?
what are you trying to prove?
you started stealing wider, you folded postflop less and now you come here to ask for advice.
you played winning poker, 19.28 bb\100 is pretty damn good. so you went ahead and decided to change that because you managed to do so for 2 whole weeks?

get a grip. you were doing well, you were doing really well and then you "opened your game up"

pfft
 
S93

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Its obvs. situational(like every thing) but im pretty sure its wider then the 4-6% it needs to be for us to make a profit against that range.

Im not saying im stacking off every time or anything and folding when u open UTG and a nitty reg 3bets u is fine but BTNvsCO/BvsB dynamic is defenatly there even at super micros and people dont just 3bet KK+.
 
Stu_Ungar

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Its obvs. situational(like every thing) but im pretty sure its wider then the 4-6% it needs to be for us to make a profit against that range.

Im not saying im stacking off every time or anything and folding when u open UTG and a nitty reg 3bets u is fine but BTNvsCO/BvsB dynamic is defenatly there even at super micros and people dont just 3bet KK+.

This is where it all starts getting hazy. Its a simple question what is the average 3bet stat at 10/25nl 6max?

If you were to ask me the same question at FR I would say 85% of people play under 3%

10% of people play about 5% and then maybe 5% play 6-20%

So its not so complex that the answer cant be put into words!
 
S93

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By running PT3 report 3bet maddness and editing filter to >100 hands it shows average preflop 3bet at 25nl 6max at 5.07% in my database.
Granted my database is realitivly new since my comp crashed but its still a decent sample.

Dont have enough hands to run it at 10nl but if any one that plays alot of 10nl 6max would be kind enough to run the report u can download it here http://www.pokertracker.com/repository/?f[page]=1 under 3bet maddness.
Depending on size of database u might want to change the hand sample filter.
 
Stu_Ungar

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OK so 5%

Now thats a mean average, I would suggest the modal average is lower.

But lets just consider 5%

99+ AQo+ KQs

88+ AKo AQs KQs

or something similar to that.

TT is behind that range and JJ is only barely ahead.

Of course you wont get the money in calling a 3bet so although JJ is slightly ahead of that 3bet range, if you 4bet JJ you are basically bluffing as JJ wont do well against a 5bet shove from someone who bets 3bets 5%
 
Stu_Ungar

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Now what I'm getting at is this, how can the standard advice be that instant folding TT is wrong when TT is behind the average 3bet range?

and how can the standard advice be to get the money in with JJ when JJ is bearly ahead of the average 3bet range, but behind the 5bet shove range?
 
Stu_Ungar

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Sorry to pick on you S93 but I keep hearing people say that hands like TT and JJ are no brainer shoves but the average villian isnt playing a wide enough range to do this with.

Where this becomes very apparent is when a player has only a few hands on the villian in question and therefore assigns him a 3bet and 5bet range where hands like TT and JJ are good when in fact this assumption isnt backed up by the stats in peoples DB.
In general you dont start to see player betting the button and blinds wide enough until you start seeing 3bet figures of 6-8%+

5% and under usually denotes a flat range that isnt varying with position.

When you start seeing 3bet stats of 8% you will usually see 3bet stats of 6-12% from the blinds and 6-12% on the button and figures of 2-4% from other positions (maybe a bit higher from the CO)
 
S93

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IP we can obvs just flat if we determine that we are ahead of his 3bet range but behind to his shoving range.

When u 3bet some one in 6max OOP what postion are u usualy in?
The blinds, people expect u to have a wider 3bet range from the blind vs a LP open which increases all ranges add in dead money and yes, stacking off becomes profitable.

And no one in this thread ever said TT/JJ where no brainer shoves, I simply said folding them as a default vs a 3bet would be a leak imo.
 
Stu_Ungar

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And no one in this thread ever said TT/JJ where no brainer shoves, I simply said folding them as a default vs a 3bet would be a leak imo.

Make your mind up

The figure of 5% comes from you, not me.

if the average 3bet % is 5% then folding them vs a 3bet is the default play.

Not folding is the leak and thats not imo thats in pokerstove's opinion.
 
S93

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Make your mind up

The figure of 5% comes from you, not me.

if the average 3bet % is 5% then folding them vs a 3bet is the default play.

Not folding is the leak and thats not imo thats in pokerstove's opinion.
Why would I fold a hand that has (slight) postive equity vs villains range?

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.379% 48.34% 01.04% 293019600 6296226.00 { 88+, AJs+, KQs, AKo }
Hand 1: 50.621% 49.58% 01.04% 300543564 6296226.00 { JJ }
 
S93

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Against a difrent 5% range.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.883% 51.98% 00.90% 368517480 6369366.00 { JJ }
Hand 1: 47.117% 46.22% 00.90% 327637644 6369366.00 { 88+, AQs+, AQo+ }
 
Stu_Ungar

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Why would I fold a hand that has (slight) postive equity vs villains range?

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.379% 48.34% 01.04% 293019600 6296226.00 { 88+, AJs+, KQs, AKo }
Hand 1: 50.621% 49.58% 01.04% 300543564 6296226.00 { JJ }

Because of how it plays out postflop and how it plays out if you 4bet.

Basically when someone 3bets 5% and under they are being kind enough to tell you that you are beat and yet you cant accept it.

Im folding AK against that range too.
 
WVHillbilly

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Because of how it plays out postflop and how it plays out if you 4bet.

Basically when someone 3bets 5% and under they are being kind enough to tell you that you are beat and yet you cant accept it.

Im folding AK against that range too.

No. We need to be stacking JJ and AK almost always. TT usually. You're only looking at our EV when called but we get plenty of folds as well and if we're folding TT/JJ/AK our stacking range is just much too narrow and we become very exploitable. If you're only stack QQ+ people should be 3betting your opens like 100%.
 
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