U
Ubercroz
Visionary
Silver Level
Statistical significance isn't a discrete thing, disregarding stats rather than placing less weight on them is a major mistake. Also for a poker decision we don't need certainty or convergence, it only needs to be better than ignoring them altogether
Fair enough, I just think that too many people put TOO MUCH weight on a small sample of their opponents actions.
The mistake I see is people over compensating for a single instance of action across a small sample. That overcompensation can, and often does, end up in choosing sub optimal plays in an effort to "catch" the villain.
So I suppose I would agree to an extent. Placing the correct weight on the the stats you have is the best thing, I think disregarding them is a smaller mistake than placing too much weight on them.
Your point is well taken though, even at a small sample size you should probably not ignore completely what you have seen.