- Feb 8, 2008
- Total posts
lol I realize you probably typed this fast but...you're basically saying "any hand that will fold to a c-bet can't call, and the rest of the hands will call/raise you".
It all comes down to what type of range we can pin him on preflop, what portion of those hands will call a c-bet and of course if the c-bet is profitable after factoring those ranges in.
Nice discussion, guys. This has sparked a reminder for something else I've thought about recently and I'll post it later tonight or tomorrow.
As i said, i PERSONALLY would put him on TT, AK, JJ or QQ. I personally don't think that he would call a 3 bet with AQ or AJ, because you could so easily ahve AK and it would be almost impossible for him to play the hand from there on out (unless ofc he gets a flop like he did). So, 2 of those hands, TT and AK, he will fold to almost any c-bet. Doesn't matter if it is a little over half the pot, or it is 2x the pot. Unless they really like putting money into an inside straight draw or hope they hit TPTK with AK. The other 2 hands, he has you completely dominated and will either call and slowplay or raise.
HOWEVER, as i said before, i don't play NL100, so i don't know the frequency of 3-bet light, so i don't know what hands he would put you on, so i don't know whether or not he would call a 3bet with AJ AQ.
IF his range is only TT-QQ, AK then the c-bet will be worthwhile, since he'll only hold on to his hand probably a little over 50% of the time. At least playing NL50, that is what i would put him on.
I don't really see him holding on to the vast majority of those hands preflop vs a 3bet. But again, i don't play NL100 so i can't really pinpoint exactly what hand range with which he would call a 3bet preflop.