Originally Posted by Tracid
Ok, so I made a thread about this earlier but it seems to have been deleted. Presumably because it had a link to a hand replay, didn't realise that was against the rules, so my apologies for that and I'll type out the hand instead... Half expected if the topic was moved or deleted to receive a pm, especially if it was breaking the rules in some way. I will read the forum rules again to identify how I fouled up.
This happens late in a tournament with about 9k entrants and there are only around 3 tables left.
Blinds are 3.5k and 7k. My stack is 232k and his is 241k.
I'm BB and he's UTG +2
My hole cards are Q(d), Q(s)
UTG +1 folds
He raises to 14k
Action folds around to me and I raise it up to 42k (3 x his)
He snap calls and the flop comes 3(s) J(d) 10(s)
I raise 46.9k (1/2 pot)
He snap shoves for 199.3k.
I'd be interested in any thoughts on this... What do you think he might have been playing? Do you think it was outrageous/semi bluff?
STUPID fold !!!
If he had AA, KK, QQ (unlikely, but happens), JJ or AK - he would re-pop to your 3-bet pre-flop.
I exclude J-10, J-3 and 3-3, because he does not have pot odds
to call your 3-bet, given the effective stack !
The only "trappy" hand he may have, is 10-10.
But with 10-10, it would be STUPID to raise with a well hidden set. He would call, in order to gain more future bets from you.
So, I put him on A-J, K-J or A-10.
Given the "action flops" you can see in all poker rooms, it is a "tradition" to arrange a flop with top-pair-top-kicker against overpair - this increases action and earns more rake for the casino at cash tables, and it shortens the tournaments (and causes players to register for the next ones)...
Your fold with an overpair on this flop was insane.