It seems pocket Kings are my achilles heal. Why do they win only about 30% of the time. Because anyone with an ace is going to call a 3bet preflop - regardless of the size. Shove - yep they still are a callin. 200bb shove pre - yep A/4 sooted binks the ace to scoop the pot.
Of all the hands we play - which hands do you think you are losing the most money with - in tourneys mostly, not cash games. Mine is definitely Kings.
In the long run, it is okay for me with all the high, mid pairs, I am in highly positive with all of them, the pairs shows negativity - not all of them - from 99.
In short run, on those level, in those tourneys, what you play, too, my AA burns all the time, not all the time, but when it is really important, same with AKs, when it is in the rebuy phase works okay, with normal probability, but when I am in the last 3 tables of any tourney, it s*cks like hell. Especially, probably you know, most of the time, you are in pre-flop allin with cards like that, in that phase.
Just from the last 2 days: both situation on FT, once 4 players left, almost everybody have the same stack, AA vs AJo and he got the straight on the river.... next day, AA vs 33 in heads up, and he got the 3.... really annoying, drives me crazy... as the 'big', would rather call relevant money is there, does not matter i win 70-90 bucks or 300-400, and I have the patiance to wait for cards, or situation, where I have 80-85% chance for win the hand, and still continue to burn.... in that heads up, i also lost A8 vs K8, and one more 80% for me hand... and I wonder why I have almost double 2nd place than 1st....
Before yesterday, with AK hands, both suit and offs, - I have counted - from almost 50 hands, I have won 1, I mean ONE played hand, at least 15 was pre-flop allin, at least 7-8 against A with smaller kicker.... got few walks, that's it. Do not mention the countless backdoor flushes against me....
So at the moment AA and AK the worst.... even it should be the best....
In
online poker forget the variance! Even probability, sometimes better to focus what you can understand from the method of RNG. Looks insane calling 2 allins with 95o, but it happened, and I wasn't wrong, just tried to focus for the RNG, how the cards are dealt, what runs going on etc. As the probability s*cks 6 days out of 7. Of course the 7th day of the week covers everything, but still annoying to have no connection to live poker....