I dont think i can fold aces on the bubble without alot of things falling into place - generally lots of players on the bubble are gonna be super snug and not wanting to go out - i think with almost any size stack i just shove with the aces and put any shorter stacks to a decision. I know my aces wont hold up everytime - but i will play the
odds at 80% pretty comfortably.
That being said i have folded KK and QQ on a sort of short stack before on the bubble...both times were good plays because both times i wouldve been outflopped by worse
hands. Now neither of those folds were the correct play per say - but given the situation and how things played out i am certainly glad i made them when i did. I learned my lesson in a $10 sng once where it was down to 4 of us, i was the 3rd stack very comfortable and likely could fold my way to the money. The big stack is just literally shoving every single hand and not caring what happens - i caught him once before and doubled my stack to lock up my spot. Not too many hands later, sitting in a guaranteed 2nd, he shoves as usual and i snap him off with QQ - he shows k3 off and spikes a king on the flop and as if he needed it, turns a 3, no help on the river sends me packing when i had a very healthy stack. 3 more BBs and the short stack was gone - because i got involved when i didnt need to - i allowed that player to make the money. I shouldve let it go, allow the player to bust and then attack the shoving stack. Lesson learned for me there that day....even though you KNOW good and well you are ahead - sometimes its not worththe unnecessary risk. Calling the only player who could take me out ended up being a bad situation.
So in turn, i think if you have AA facing 2 or 3 players already all in - it warrants a fold unless you have them all well covered by 50 - 60 bb or more. Yes you want to run deep, but theres also no reason to sacrafice a bunch of your
equity and your stack if the situation doesnt call for you taking the unnecessary risk. If you win, great - your stack is huge and life is good - but if you are the shortest of the short on the bubble with AA facing 3+ players already all in - im folding everytime. Chances are someone there is busting, if not multiple players busting. Give me my min cash and i will play my short stack from there on.
Add on:: example AcAd is only a 66% favorite against Jh10h and KdQd - so against two hands that you have crushed - you are still going to lose this hand 1 in 3 runouts. Conclusion for me is in certain situations i think that a fold can be the correct play.
