rastapapolos
Rock Star
Bronze Level
Hello, I wanted to share with you a hand that I played yesterday in a PKO tourney, only one bustout and we make the money. Just after the break, the game goes on and I've dealt pocket 99 in lowjack seat. it's a full-ring table (9 players), I had a good stack ~34bb and my standing is 30.
UTG limps (6 bb), a tight player with 9% vpip and 3% pfr. (less than 50 hands)
MP calls (31 bb), vpip 13% and 0% pfr. (less than 50 hands).
Action is to me and I decided to just call, I could raise here but there are 2 big stacks to act behind and I wanted to set mine with a medium hand, if I don't hit the flop I could muck.
CO calls (41bb). vpip 52%, pfr 12% (less than 50 hands).
BB the big dog (43bb). vpip 38%, pfr 28%. he was very active and aggressive, decided to raise x6 bb.
Both UTG and MP folds.
Action is to me, there is 11.6bb in the pot and I have to add 5 more, given the odds and my hand I decided to call.
CO calls.
FLOP: 4s5s3c (pot 21.6 bb)
BB c-bet 1/3 pot. As he's the aggressor pre-flop and very active, I expected him to c-bet a lot on this type of boards. My first task is to assign him a range, with the top of his range AA, KK, QQ,JJ I don't think he's betting this amount vs 2 players, normally he bets at least 1/2 pot to chase away the draws. With Ax and a spade especially the A, seems a good condidate for that sizing. I think I have 2 options here, either I call or raise to get some info, the player in the CO was playing 50% of his starting hands, he could hit this flop very strong, so I decided to call.
CO folds.
Turn: 3d (pot 35.8 bb)
2 good news here, the board didn't bring any change to the situation, and the 50% vpip player folded. I'm HU with the big dog. He got an SPR of 1, and me far mor less. It's a dangerous situation, I check if any one has busted and nothing, still 99 players.
BB barrels another 1/3 pot. Very tough spot, with 21bb left, I could fold and survive the bubble, if I call (and I'm 100% sure that he will put me all-in on the river) I have to go to the show down. But if I raise ? It seems a good move, after all he's likely more on draws than a made hand. I'm only crushed vs AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT ( 6*5=30) and I beat all the rest (AK, AQ, KQ, 88, 77, 66) = 16+16+16+6+6+6= 66.
I decided to raise all-in, 10 second later he calls. showing TT.
River: 7h.
I bust out 99 with 99 hand. I didn't make an ITM, but at least I've made 68% back of the buy-in from bounties.
People try to analyse their decision-making based on the outcomes, so normally here I've made the wrong decision based on the outcome. But sometimes you could have made the decision which is mathematically 90% correct and you ended up on the side of the 10% loosing. That doesn't mean that you have to change your decision-making process, you just got unlucky, but on the long run you're making it the correct way.
What is your opinion an thoughts about this hand ?
UTG limps (6 bb), a tight player with 9% vpip and 3% pfr. (less than 50 hands)
MP calls (31 bb), vpip 13% and 0% pfr. (less than 50 hands).
Action is to me and I decided to just call, I could raise here but there are 2 big stacks to act behind and I wanted to set mine with a medium hand, if I don't hit the flop I could muck.
CO calls (41bb). vpip 52%, pfr 12% (less than 50 hands).
BB the big dog (43bb). vpip 38%, pfr 28%. he was very active and aggressive, decided to raise x6 bb.
Both UTG and MP folds.
Action is to me, there is 11.6bb in the pot and I have to add 5 more, given the odds and my hand I decided to call.
CO calls.
FLOP: 4s5s3c (pot 21.6 bb)
BB c-bet 1/3 pot. As he's the aggressor pre-flop and very active, I expected him to c-bet a lot on this type of boards. My first task is to assign him a range, with the top of his range AA, KK, QQ,JJ I don't think he's betting this amount vs 2 players, normally he bets at least 1/2 pot to chase away the draws. With Ax and a spade especially the A, seems a good condidate for that sizing. I think I have 2 options here, either I call or raise to get some info, the player in the CO was playing 50% of his starting hands, he could hit this flop very strong, so I decided to call.
CO folds.
Turn: 3d (pot 35.8 bb)
2 good news here, the board didn't bring any change to the situation, and the 50% vpip player folded. I'm HU with the big dog. He got an SPR of 1, and me far mor less. It's a dangerous situation, I check if any one has busted and nothing, still 99 players.
BB barrels another 1/3 pot. Very tough spot, with 21bb left, I could fold and survive the bubble, if I call (and I'm 100% sure that he will put me all-in on the river) I have to go to the show down. But if I raise ? It seems a good move, after all he's likely more on draws than a made hand. I'm only crushed vs AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT ( 6*5=30) and I beat all the rest (AK, AQ, KQ, 88, 77, 66) = 16+16+16+6+6+6= 66.
I decided to raise all-in, 10 second later he calls. showing TT.
River: 7h.
I bust out 99 with 99 hand. I didn't make an ITM, but at least I've made 68% back of the buy-in from bounties.
People try to analyse their decision-making based on the outcomes, so normally here I've made the wrong decision based on the outcome. But sometimes you could have made the decision which is mathematically 90% correct and you ended up on the side of the 10% loosing. That doesn't mean that you have to change your decision-making process, you just got unlucky, but on the long run you're making it the correct way.
What is your opinion an thoughts about this hand ?
