Royal draw

[Swodaems]

Stacks:
* BB with 123624
* UTG with 36250
* MP1 with 259846
* MP2 with 110691
* CO with 115848
* BTN with 60413
* SB with 141703

Blinds:
Site: full tilt poker
* * Dealt to CO:A♦ Q♦
* * Sklansky group 2
Preflop:
* * 4 players fold.
* * Hero calls [5,000]
* * BTN raises to 10,000
* * 1 players fold.
* * BB calls [5,000]
* * Hero calls [5,000]
* * Total folds this street: 5
* * Potsize: 25007
Flop:
* * 2♠ K♦ 10♦
* * BB checks
* * Hero bets [5,000]
* * BTN raises to 49,813, and is all in
* * 1 players fold.

Call for half our chips or fold?

 

[ashershi]

I would call. I believe you have around a 34% chance to hit one of your outs. And plus it would bug the hell outta ya from that point on if you didn't.

 

[diamond_06_06]

I would call here. Not sure what you put villian on here but it doesn't matter I would still call. Maybe he raised with AK and now has TPTK. He could have raised with K K or 10 10 and now have flopped a set which does not really account for his push (would probably have bet less for value). Maybe something like A 10.

Anyways as it stands you have 12 cards (9 diamonds and the 3 jacks that or non diamond) that you can hit which will give you a lock on the hand. Because villian is all in you get to see both cards for that money. Now using the 2 and 4 rule the chances of hitting your hand are roughly 48%. This means you are almost a coinflip to win the hand on the flop.

Pre flop pot = $25,007 + heros $5,000 bet + villians $5,00 call = $35,007.
Now you have to call another $44,813 to win a total pot of $79,820, which makes it an easy call with good odds.

You should also factor in that you could very well have 3 more outs with the other Aces, as villian could be on a hand like K Q and only have a pair of kings at this point, Making the call even easier

 

[bobphilallo]

I would call since you have multiple outs to win the hand (the straight and flush draw and possibly just a pair will do it). I put him on a set with 3 kings but since your major outs are a flush and straight draw I would try to gamble with this hand. Good Luck!!

 

[Swodaems]

Glad the consensus is swinging towards calling and that it wasn't a completely boneheaded move. This is how it turned out. I still cashed that tourney, but had hoped to make the final table.

* * Hero calls [44,813] BTN shows :
* * A♠ K♣ Hero shows :
* * A♦ Q♦
* * Total folds this street: 1
* * Potsize: 119638
Turn:
* * 3♣
* * Potsize: 119638
River:
* * K♠
* * BTN shows three of a kind, Kings
* * Hero shows a pair of Kings BTN wins the pot (136,926) with three of a kind, Kings

 

[feitr]

lol this is an absolute snap call...you have 45% equity even if your A and Q are dead (ie. villain has AK). Even vs a set, which is incredibly unlikely, you still have 1:2 equity.

That said, why on earth are you open limping AQs from CO :S :S :S :S :S :S :S

 

[robwhufc]

That said, why on earth are you open limping AQs from CO :S :S :S :S :S :S :S

...and, why are you betting 5K into a 25K pot post flop? I can't make sense of any of these hand analysis any more to be honest.

 

[i desire love]

Here id say depending on whats your goal. If u wanna grind a couple spots then u should fold that hand. If you go for the win, obv. call since u have plenty of outs. But once again, weak play of the hand, u limped From C0 with AQs??