OESD and flush draw on turn facing all-in and other action

jaketrevvor

jaketrevvor

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Very interesting maths problem in a freeroll (surprising?)

Seat 1: schoolteacher65 (1,485)
Seat 2: I Eat Tang (1,350)
Seat 3: Big_Lar_86 (1,470)
Seat 4: Broken_Glas (1,500)
Seat 5: whojgov32 (1,770)
Seat 6: KrazyKrazed (1,500)
Seat 7: jaketrevvor (1,455)
Seat 8: gollosb (1,500)
Seat 9: bearseternity (1,470)
Big_Lar_86 posts the small blind of 15
Broken_Glas posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to jaketrevvor [9h 7h]
whojgov32 folds
KrazyKrazed calls 30
jaketrevvor calls 30
gollosb folds
bearseternity has 15 seconds left to act
bearseternity folds
schoolteacher65 folds
I Eat Tang folds
Big_Lar_86 calls 15
Broken_Glas checks
*** FLOP *** [Tc Kh 2h]
Big_Lar_86 has 15 seconds left to act
Big_Lar_86 checks
Broken_Glas checks
KrazyKrazed checks
jaketrevvor bets 120
Big_Lar_86 has 15 seconds left to act
Big_Lar_86 folds
Broken_Glas calls 120
KrazyKrazed calls 120
*** TURN *** [Tc Kh 2h] [8d]
Broken_Glas checks
KrazyKrazed checks
jaketrevvor bets 370
Broken_Glas calls 370
KrazyKrazed has 15 seconds left to act
KrazyKrazed raises to 1,350, and is all in
jaketrevvor has 15 seconds left to act
jaketrevvor has requested TIME
jaketrevvor ???

This is only the 3rd hand so no significant reads apart from that everyone seems to be playing regular loose-passive as would be expected in any freeroll. What's our action?

jt
 
bubbasbestbabe

bubbasbestbabe

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Freeroll? All in. Do you want to spend 2-3 hours grinding it out or do you want a nice chip lead now? If you lose there's always another FR.
 
J

jeffred1111

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All-in, even against someone who flopped/turned a set/two pairs you have semi-decent equity (thirtyish) and this is a freeroll, plus the pot is padded. Worst case is a set + a higher straight draw, but what the heck, AI man probably has K4 for all we know.
 
OzExorcist

OzExorcist

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Assuming they're all clean (possibly a flawed assumption, but anywho) you've got 17 outs, and you're about 36% to hit one of them on the river.

You're probably not getting quite the right odds to call, but then like BBB says, this is a freeroll
 
royalburrito24

royalburrito24

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AWWWWWRRRRRRRRRRRR IIIIIIIIIINNNNNNNNN
 
jaketrevvor

jaketrevvor

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At the time the pot was at 2570 at this point and a I had 935 left meaning I was getting 2.75 to 1 on a call which is not quite enough seeing as I'm just over 3 to 1 on making a hand, but there is a very large chance that the guy behind me will call all-in as well (mainly as it is a freeroll :cool:) and even if he only does this 50% of the time the pot then effectively climbs to 3030 and I'm suddenly getting odds on a call - wooo!

And yes, of course, it is a freeroll - I'd probably call with 1 out to escape the hellhole.

jaketrevvor calls 935, and is all in
Broken_Glas calls 980, and is all in
KrazyKrazed shows [Kc 6d]
jaketrevvor shows [9h 7h]
Broken_Glas shows [9d Td]
*** RIVER *** [Tc Kh 2h 8d] [Qh]
KrazyKrazed shows a pair of Kings
Broken_Glas shows a pair of Tens
KrazyKrazed wins the side pot (90) with a pair of Kings
jaketrevvor shows a flush, King high
jaketrevvor wins the main pot (4,395) with a flush, King high
 
Jack Daniels

Jack Daniels

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Assuming they're all clean (possibly a flawed assumption, but anywho) you've got 17 outs, and you're about 36% to hit one of them on the river.
Just to clarify, he'd only have 15 outs, not 17. He makes the straight with 8 cards and the flush with 9, however 2 of the flush cards are already counted as outs to make the straight. So it's 8+7=15, not 8+9=17. Not a huge deal really as either way I agree with the advice here and push every time at this point.
 
OzExorcist

OzExorcist

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Just to clarify, he'd only have 15 outs, not 17. He makes the straight with 8 cards and the flush with 9, however 2 of the flush cards are already counted as outs to make the straight. So it's 8+7=15, not 8+9=17. Not a huge deal really as either way I agree with the advice here and push every time at this point.

*facepalm*

Absolutely correct JD :eek:
 
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