nut straight potential flush on river

[gis1239]

pokerstars Game #19232732156: Tournament #99060395, $3.00+$0.40 Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30) - 2008/07/30 - 20:30:46 (ET)
Table '99060395 1' 10-max Seat #10 is the button
Seat 2: gis1239 (1900 in chips)
Seat 3: kwa69 (1795 in chips)
Seat 4: Young Pip (1620 in chips)
Seat 5: trestilla (4040 in chips)
Seat 6: a521chowda (1505 in chips)
Seat 7: RatManDoo (1405 in chips)
Seat 8: Fishhead131 (1455 in chips)
Seat 10: KINGKONG47 (1280 in chips)
gis1239: posts small blind 15
kwa69: posts big blind 30
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to gis1239 [8d Td]
Young Pip: folds
trestilla: folds
a521chowda: calls 30
RatManDoo: folds
Fishhead131: calls 30
KINGKONG47: folds
gis1239: calls 15
kwa69: checks
*** FLOP *** [9c 7h Jh]
gis1239: bets 90
kwa69: folds
a521chowda: calls 90
Fishhead131: raises 150 to 240
gis1239: raises 150 to 390
a521chowda: calls 300
Fishhead131: calls 150
*** TURN *** [9c 7h Jh] [2c]
gis1239: bets 540
a521chowda: folds
Fishhead131: calls 540
*** RIVER *** [9c 7h Jh 2c] [5h]
gis1239:????

 

[TheCody86]

Well for starters, minraising is horrible and a sign of strength. DO NOT DO IT. Reraise bigger on the flop. On the river, you have put more than half of your stack into the pot, so you aren't folding to a flush (pot committal). Might as well put him all in.

 

[Effexor]

There are a couple things here. First off, raise more on the flop. He's obviously interested in that flop and will most likely be willing to get more chips in the middle. The turn bet is ok, although I might consider just pushing there.

On the river, just push it all in. Flush draws don't reraise flops like that normally. You'll most often see hands like KJ / AJ range, maybe a set if you are lucky but the flush is very unlikely.

 

[OzExorcist]

Tend to agree - a flush is possible, though it's been played very weird if that's what it is. This is more likely to be something like Effexor said: AJ / KJ or a set. Someone else holding T8 might also make sense. So I'd merrily get it in on the river.

If you're beat you're beat, but I think you're ahead the overwhelming majority of the time here AND if the villain's called all your previous bets, they'll probably pay you off here.

Other than that, again I'll just be repeating the advice given above: raise bigger on the flop, and definitely bet bigger on the turn - if you're suspecting one of your villains is on a flush draw, betting 540 into a pot of around 1300 offers them a pretty good price to contine. It's not quite the odds they need, but it's close.

The other alternative would be to disguise the strength of your hand by flat calling the raise on the flop. This obviously carries a lot more risk though and against an aggressive opponent who'll get his chips in you may as well just build the pot on the flop.