can i fold this?

joosebuck

joosebuck

Legend
pokerstars Game #7346468994: Tournament #37162820, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level VII (100/200) - 2006/12/07 - 22:44:26 (ET)
Table '37162820 6' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: MooBert (5504 in chips)
Seat 2: gxhooper (5369 in chips)
Seat 3: OmDeBelea (2848 in chips)
Seat 4: floyd_1977 (12238 in chips)
Seat 5: joosebucklol (12408 in chips)
Seat 6: Jeremy1904 (5555 in chips)
Seat 7: BoilerZach (9380 in chips)
Seat 8: btjami (11853 in chips)
Seat 9: ytseshred (4330 in chips)
MooBert: posts the ante 25
gxhooper: posts the ante 25
OmDeBelea: posts the ante 25
floyd_1977: posts the ante 25
joosebucklol: posts the ante 25
Jeremy1904: posts the ante 25
BoilerZach: posts the ante 25
btjami: posts the ante 25
ytseshred: posts the ante 25
MooBert: posts small blind 100
gxhooper: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to joosebucklol [7h 7s]
OmDeBelea: calls 200
floyd_1977: folds
joosebucklol: calls 200
Jeremy1904: raises 400 to 600
BoilerZach: folds
btjami: folds
ytseshred: folds
MooBert: folds
gxhooper: folds
OmDeBelea: calls 400
joosebucklol: calls 400
*** FLOP *** [Qc 2c 7c]
OmDeBelea: checks
joosebucklol: bets 2000
Jeremy1904: raises 2930 to 4930 and is all-in
OmDeBelea: folds
joosebucklol: ...
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

plays poker on hard mode
I couldn't fold this. Maybe he has the flush, maybe he doesn't. Look at it from his perspective. Judging by your bet, he clearly doesn't think you flopped the flush, because he probably doesn't you think you'd have bet this much. Ac + pair of queens, or maybe just AcK, any AQ or overpair does this easily. If he flopped the flush, you've still got decent odds to make your full house. If he flopped a set of queens (which seems very possible), you are, how they say, le screwed. But ~ 9000 in the pot by my count, and 2930 more to call, seems that higher set of queens is the only thing that really kills you. If he flopped the flush, it looks like you even have odds to draw to the full house.
 
joosebuck

joosebuck

Legend
joosebucklol: calls 2930
joosebucklol said, "wow"
joosebucklol said, "nh"
*** TURN *** [Qc 2c 7c] [7d]
OmDeBelea said, "omgf"
*** RIVER *** [Qc 2c 7c 7d] [Ks]
MooBert said, "lol"
joosebucklol said, "jeez"
MooBert said, "omg"
OmDeBelea said, "omgfggg"
MooBert said, "omg"
*** SHOW DOWN ***
joosebucklol: shows [7h 7s] (four of a kind, Sevens)
Jeremy1904: shows [Qs Qh] (a full house, Queens full of Sevens)
OmDeBelea said, "omgggg"
joosebucklol said, "sorry man"
joosebucklol collected 12185 from pot
OmDeBelea said, "mokmjgfhug"
OmDeBelea said, "kjgfd"
MooBert said, "holy ****"
OmDeBelea said, "kouhkoi;h"
joosebucklol said, "no getting away from that"
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 12185 | Rake 0
Board [Qc 2c 7c 7d Ks]
Seat 1: MooBert (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: gxhooper (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: OmDeBelea folded on the Flop
Seat 4: floyd_1977 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: joosebucklol showed [7h 7s] and won (12185) with four of a kind, Sevens
Seat 6: Jeremy1904 showed [Qs Qh] and lost with a full house, Queens full of Sevens
Seat 7: BoilerZach folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: btjami folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: ytseshred (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
 
T

Threesixes

Visionary
Before I read the results I was thinking "No, but dont be surprised when he shows his pocket queens" Turns out he had em, but it didnt matter. Nice Hand :D
 
M

myxiplx

Rock Star
Very nice win. I didn't spot the post before seeing the results but I'd have called here, pot odds justify calling against a flush, Q's have you nailed but are unlikely.

Incidentally, I love your 2k bet - it looked very much like a bluff at the flush and I think you would have gotten called / raised by any hand hitting a piece of this flop, it also meant anybody chasing the flush is making a mistake to do so. I gotta start getting more aggressive with my sets.
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

plays poker on hard mode
but I would have eventually put him on Q2 and called him. The only time I would have put that down would be right on the bubble in a mtt but I am often told I have no ambition beyond the bubble!

He raises 3 BBs after 2 early position callers and we're putting him on Q2? Errrr... :confused:
 
joosebuck

joosebuck

Legend
- what happened in the tourney... u win it ?

made it deep, but busted when someone tried to steal with QJ and i caught them with AK but they hit and i didnt. soon after that i called a late position raise from the sb with AJ and hit top pair, called him down and he had AQ. left me with not much at all, ended up pushing the next hand with paint and busting.
 
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