Was playing out of position agains an aggressive player. both players had around 200
holecards Ac 5s
he limps i BET
flop 8s 8c 8d
i BET he folds...
i?
Quote for emphasis. We really need more info here to make any good analysis.
Im sry but i do think i have a point. "i agree! only half the information i would need to give advice!" this comment ticked me off as i felt like its not true, and a silly way of putting me down(and himself up). Ok whatever
back to the hand.
And yes he was pretty likely to bet with air, but more important he would likley raise preflop with almost all the hands i loose to(small pp, k-10 and better ak/kj kq) weak king was the only thing i really was afraid of. I also dindt think he had k the cuz because of his bet 6.5 into an 8 pot on the turn.
ok river is 3 of spades and its now i relize ive made a mistake on the turn. If he fires ?third bullet? i would be in a tough spot. . he has 34 of clubs for a flushdraw on the turn. And he wins with eights full. What i really wanna ask in this tread is when do u call an agressive player to let him hang himself and when do u raise? im trying not to be result orientated here but i still think i should have raised the turn, he has probably bluffed twice and i woulda made a nice win and woulndt have put myself in a tough should he deside to bluff again on river.
The only way this overagro donk(got that confirmed later) would not bet that flop if checked to is if he had the case 8. I agree that a flop raise would be nice, but i think that against theese types on that flop u should sometimes wait with the raise untill the turn.
"the only problem with just calling the flop is there are only 4 cards you would be ok to see on the turn. case 8 or a ace, any other card could make his hand. If he has 23, and a 2 or 3 comes on the turn he will not be folding to your raise on the turn."
no if he calls my raise on the turn im done with the hand unless an ace or an eight hits the river. But keep in mind that there are only six cards he would like that could hit the turn , but i knew that he was very likely to bluff again if he didnt hit. Im not a math guy but if he hit around 12-15 percent of the time one the turn(3 or 4, six outs), but bets 6 dollars atleast 75 percent of the time anyway dont i make more money if i raise the turn? given he will fold if he dont hit and call if he does.
"I dont think your ace high is ahead enough on the turn to make your bet a +ev play. But I do think your ace high is ahead most of the time on the flop so that I think is +Ev."??????
So what changes? why is it so right to raise flop but not turn? he will probably bet the turn since ive shown weakness on both flop and turn because he is a overly aggressive player. From hes earlier way of play i feel confidendt that hell bet again on the turn again if checked too regardless. action goes like this flop 888 i check and he(as fully expected) bets half a pot(2). i should call with the intetion of check raising the turn when he bets,SO how does my ev change so drasticly, remember HE WILL bet the turn if checked to regardless. what i basically would do is gamble and say:
I give u 1 card if u hit(12.5 percent) u win my reraise(say 14 dollars) if u miss i win your bluff 6.5dollars. To put it another way with the a board of 888 X how often is A5 the best hand heads up? in an unraised pot when your oppenent raises with a high- k-10 and better + all pairs, very often i would think. Of course this changes when people start betting, but i tought that this guy would bet anyway.
PS i know playing aggro is the way to go heads up. That how i generally play but i was goofing around and trying something else here when i saw that my oppentent was close to a maniac.