$Freeroll NLHE MTT: CC $300 Weekly AQo in SB

[mariussica88]

CO stats after 33 hands: VPIP 36 PFR 27 Post flop AGG 0.75 Flop C-bet 50 and 3-bet 7.69

Do you guys think I should bet the river?

pokerstars - 25/50 NL - Holdem - 9 players


CO: 2,514 (50.3 bb)
BTN: 2,795 (55.9 bb)
Hero (SB): 9,558 (191.2 bb)
BB: 2,979 (59.6 bb)
UTG: 4,369 (87.4 bb)
UTG+1: 2,860 (57.2 bb)
MP: 4,482 (89.6 bb)
MP+1: 2,625 (52.5 bb)
MP+2: 3,323 (66.5 bb)

Hero posts SB 25, BB posts 50

Pre Flop: (pot: 75) Hero has
5 folds, CO raises to 100, fold, Hero raises to 350, fold, CO calls 250

Flop: (750, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (750, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets 263, Hero calls 263

River: (1,276, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Results: 1,276 pot (0 rake)
Final Board:

Spoiler

Hero shows : (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 69%, Flop 85%, Turn 90%)

CO mucks : (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 31%, Flop 15%, Turn 10%)

Hero wins 1,276

 

[300HPGOD]

3 betting pre is a good move here but the sizing needs to be larger. At least 4x here since we are out of position and want to cut down on villains implied odds. Plus we also shouldnt mind they fold pre flop to us here and like it especially if they are folding hands like 55-77 which are slightly ahead of us.

On the flop with two spades out there I like continuing to bet and repping a strong 3 betting hand along with charging any spade draws the villain could have. Nothing too large, as I would down bet here to something around 300-350.

The turn as played I think you bet here for value as villain should not have that many flush draws since the A,K, and Q of spades are all accounted for. That would leave only J10, J9 and some of the suited connectors like 87 and 76 that would have hit the flush with this card. With the ace of spades coming out it really reduces flushes and we still have the nut flush draw due to our Q. I would bet here to target Ax and maybe some Jx of spades hand that might call as well.

The river as played with the check call on the turn is a toss up to me. We have a blocker to Q10 and I think their flush draws are limited although still possible. Part of me wants to make a small value bet of 35-40% pot and target mid Ax hands and part of me wants to just check and give the villain a chance to bluff. Guess it depends on what you think of villain here. Im really fine with either play but I think I have a slight lean towards the small bet on the river to try to get something more out of this hand than what has already been put in the middle.

 

[eetenor]

CO stats after 33 hands: VPIP 36 PFR 27 Post flop AGG 0.75 Flop C-bet 50 and 3-bet 7.69

Do you guys think I should bet the river?

PokerStars - 25/50 NL - Holdem - 9 players


CO: 2,514 (50.3 bb)
BTN: 2,795 (55.9 bb)
Hero (SB): 9,558 (191.2 bb)
BB: 2,979 (59.6 bb)
UTG: 4,369 (87.4 bb)
UTG+1: 2,860 (57.2 bb)
MP: 4,482 (89.6 bb)
MP+1: 2,625 (52.5 bb)
MP+2: 3,323 (66.5 bb)

Hero posts SB 25, BB posts 50

Pre Flop: (pot: 75) Hero has
5 folds, CO raises to 100, fold, Hero raises to 350, fold, CO calls 250

Flop: (750, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (750, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets 263, Hero calls 263

River: (1,276, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Results: 1,276 pot (0 rake)
Final Board:

Spoiler

Hero shows : (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 69%, Flop 85%, Turn 90%)

CO mucks : (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 31%, Flop 15%, Turn 10%)

Hero wins 1,276

Thank you for posting.

What range does the CO call for a 750 pot when they call-250 more or 3-1 odds?
What range do we have for this sizing? GTO chart?

Do we want to get parts of the CO range to fold on this flop?
If yes what sizing do we choose?
If we lead and get raised are we 100% calling?
If no then what size are we leading?

What part of V range is never folding this flop to the above bet sizes?

What part of the V range that is ahead of us does not bet flop?


Hope this helps

 

[fundiver199]

Preflop
3-betting is fine and sizing sort of ok but on the small side.

Flop
Its a somewhat dry board, so I would C-bet here, as I would with most of my range. Its not a big mistake to check though, since you do have a bit of showdown value.

Turn
With the A, K and Q of spades spoken for, its almost impossible for him to have a flush in a 3-bet pot, and most people would also have bet a J or T high flushdraw when checked to on the flop, since those hands have good equity but no showdown value. He would also have bet, if he flopped second pair or better, so he cant have hands like AK, KK, A9, K9 or 99 either, or at least its very unlikely. What he most likely have, are hands like AJ, AT, QJs, QTs, JTs, TT-QQ. You beat all those hands, so you need to bet for value and protection.

River
As played I dont see any reason to donk bet. It would just be weird, and the J is also not a good card, since you now lose to AJ, JJ and QTs, which are some of the hands, you were ahead of on the turn. So as played this is a check-call, but you should not have arrived here with such a passive line in my opinion.

 

[QA77]

I think you played it fine. The only different way I see is betting on the turn and then either betting or check calling river. Since you check called the turn, I think check calling the river is the best play.