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cbt711
Enthusiast
Silver Level
lay down the gut shot straight flush draw? Maybe since it's a tournement, and it's about life, and weight and not about odds over the long haul like a cash game, but even agains A Q, or an over pair, which is about as bad as you can assume you're against... you have 9 spade outs, 4 straight outs, and 3+3/2 out of the remaining cars for two pair outs... which puts you at about 52% against a pair, 51% against two pair and about 45% against a set... But I dont know how aggressive you are - so you re raise or fold... anything but call here.
cbt711
Enthusiast
Silver Level
off the top of my head, I would put you around 60% favorite at this point to top pair, over pair... even two pair is only 8-10% less with the boat outs he would have... so he folded considering the early hand and tourny buy in to your re raise... or he's a donk, and drew out since it's full tilt. Either way, I like your play here
blankoblanco
plays poker on hard mode
Silver Level
I push here just about every time. Certainly don't think you can fold... if you're gonna fold here, there's no point playing suited connectors in these spots to begin with. It's a good-sized pot and you have some fold equity. If he calls, you're a 55/45 fave over AQ, KK, or AA (unless one of his cards is a spade, in which case it's closer to even). Accumulating chips early in a tournament is of course really important. It'll lead to opportunities to accumulate more. If he calls and you lose, you didn't waste 4 hours to bubble or merely win back your buy-in or whatever, that's fine.
blankoblanco
plays poker on hard mode
Silver Level
From joosebuck's description, villain bet about 360 into a pot of 360, and joosebuck has ~1380 chips left. How much is a made hand supposed to raise here if they wanted to drive out a draw? Raise to 900 and leave yourself with 480? An all-in is not even close to an overbet in this situation, so I don't see how it's indicative of a draw. AQ does the same thing.
zebranky
Rock Star
Silver Level
Yup, that sounds right. At least early in MTT/ MTSNGs, I won't play suited connectors unless they're JT or better. There's just too many wild players for me to bother playing anything but the monster hands. Nothing worse than having a T9 straight busted by a 27 FH (and it's happened to me twice)
As for after the flop - I don't think I could fold your hand, but I'd still be tempted to cold call. I couldn't drop the draws you have for the price he's giving, but I just don't like the risk of an all-in early in a multi-table event. some numbnuts with a pair and a kicker is too likely to call when he shouldn't and hold up!
Dorkus Malorkus
HELLO INTERNET
Silver Level
duudde i <3 you but wtf
You want to play suited connectors cheaply in unraised, multi-way pots. This is not a cheap, or unraised pot, and is not guaranteed to be multi-way. It's a trivially easy preflop fold.
Shove the flop though and make the best out of a bad situation though, yeah.