$7.50 S&G -- KJs 2nd pair w/ nut flush draw on turn

pitter22

pitter22

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pokerstars Game #21336215936: Tournament #115250820, $7.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2008/10/19 21:16:18 ET
Table '115250820 1' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: G8h5 (2100 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 4: Marshall000 (1460 in chips)
Seat 5: NCWOLF-52 (3050 in chips)
Seat 6: juluka55 (1905 in chips)
Seat 7: pitter22 (1820 in chips)
Seat 8: Verhoef (1940 in chips)
Seat 9: crowcr31 (1225 in chips)
crowcr31: posts small blind 50
G8h5: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to pitter22 [Jh Kh]
Verhoef said, "wow"
Marshall000: folds
NCWOLF-52: calls 100
juluka55: folds
pitter22: calls 100
Verhoef: folds
crowcr31: calls 50
G8h5: folds
*** FLOP *** [9h 6d Js]
crowcr31: checks
NCWOLF-52: checks
pitter22: bets 250
crowcr31: folds
NCWOLF-52: calls 250
*** TURN *** [9h 6d Js] [Ah]
NCWOLF-52: checks
pitter22: bets 500
NCWOLF-52: raises 2200 to 2700 and is all-in
?????

Now here i figure villain has A9 or A6... am i gettin the right odds to call here to see if i hit a heart???

pot size -- 2270
to call --- 970

what do you guys think....
 
Mortis

Mortis

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Well, if you have him on a A/9 or A/6.. then you have 8 or 9 outs.. villain would be a 4:1 favorite. If he just hit his Ace.. then villain is a 3:1 favorite, since you can beat him with another J or K as well.

Nice little pot.. but it's still a little pot. I'd fold.
 
pitter22

pitter22

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one thing i forgot to mention that this is a turbo.. so taking calculated risks is better than folding and leaving yourself short stacked
 
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mrjohnson911

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correct me if im wrong, but i believe there is 2870 in the pot and you have 970 to call... that means your left with less than 10 BBs... that means you have pot odds of about 3 to 1...

your 8/9 flush outs (if you put him on two pair) + 2 trip outs give you winning chances of about 3.7 to 1..

if you just put him on the A you get another 3 outs to make two pair which would give you a total of 14 outs which gives you winning chances that are better than 3 to 1 and you should call...

however i believe you should call this anyways, cause like you said its better taking risks with a hand that has relatively good winning chances...

also i m thinking, depending on your read, there are players who will raise you at this point, "knowing" that you re not holding an A...
 
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