Hello, welcome to Cardschat! A couple of things:
1. This hand history looks a little different than the ones I have-- do you have the Full Tilt Client set up to save hand histories to your hard drive? If not, you can go to Options-> Hand History... and select a folder to have your files saved to. After the tournament, you can go to that folder, then copy and paste the hand to a converter like the one
here.
2. It's good that you're trying to evaluate a player's holdings, but imo the logic of "I put him on a flush draw" is a little flawed. Rather, we should start with a wider range, and narrow that range down based on his post-flop actions. For example, the villain here opened UTG+1. If he's a tight-aggressive player, he's probably opening pretty tight, let's say 99+, AQ+. If our read is different, we might figure him for a different range, like if he were more fishy and lacked skills such as positional awareness, good bet sizing, etc., we instead might start with a range of 22+, ATs+, AJo+, KJs+, KQo, QJs.
After his open, he gets two callers, one from the button and one from the Hero is the SB. The fact that we called with AK is important here, too-- many players would expect a reraise preflop with AK, so we've sort of under-represented our hand here. But I digress. The flop comes A high and two-toned, and we check to the raiser, who curiously checks behind. Then the button makes a pot sized bet. I would say his range for calling pre-flop is heavily weighted towards smaller pairs, say 22-JJ, some different connectors, like JTo, QTs+, and maybe some suited aces. He could have QQ+, AK, but as I said before, those are more likely to be in a 3-bet range. So when he fires, depending on any reads we've made up to this point, he could be betting any of his aces for value, especially with a flush draw, other flush draws as a semi-
bluff, pairs 77-JJ (or a slowplayed QQ, KK), and sets. Against that range, plus the unlikely QQ+, AK, we're better than a 3:1 favorite--
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 77.697% 77.70% 00.00% 53844 0.00 { AhKc }
Hand 1: 22.303% 22.30% 00.00% 15456 0.00 { 22+, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, QsJs, QsTs, JsTs }
We're obviously not worried about being behind, so we can c/r this for both value from smaller aces and flush draws. Once we do, and then the original villain reraises, we have to reconsider where we're at again. His range is much stronger than the other villain's range, let's say AJ+, 22, 66, AA, all of which want to charge draws to play. There may be a few flush draws of his own in there, too, like KsQs or something. We're ahead of that range, too:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.993% 47.82% 10.17% 14203 3021.00 { AhKc }
Hand 1: 42.007% 31.84% 10.17% 9455 3021.00 { AA, 66, 22, AJs+, KsQs, AJo+ }
I know this really wasn't the point of your post, and I probably went way too far lol, but I just wanted to highlight why we can't just name something we beat as our opponent's range, because that's not hand reading. You really have to consider all the possibilities, weigh your hand against all the different possibilities, look at the pot
odds and what decisions you'll have to make on later streets (if any), then make your decision.
3. I'm never getting away from this after I but 1/3 of my stack in the pot. Obviously, you got your money in good, and you can never really be upset about that.
This post ended up being a lot longer than I planned lol. Hope it was helpful!
