Against villains range 5-1 isn't good enough and yeah same goes for AKs.
Unless you have specific knowledge otherwise this min-3bet is 90% AA/KK
You're folding AK preflop for fear of seeing AA or KK? Really? You realize that since you would have 1 Ace and 1 King here he only has 6 combos available to him to make either AA or KK(out of a crap-load of combinations). If you add QQ combos he would have 12 ways of having the top 3 hands. Never fold AK or AQs in this situation. This is extremely early in the tourney and both players have enough chips to play this hand. If the villain had say 800-1000 chips then I would say push or fold but with the stacks the way they are you need to call.
What hands are we ahead of? What flops other than the stone cold nuts are we willing to play OOP against this raiser?
Well 22 has got us beat. And no I'm not saying villain has deuces but you got to quit seeing skeletons in the closet and consider the odds to call. 4.75 to 1 are great odds I think with AQd.
As far as flops I would bet ANY flop with an Ace, Queen(obv) or Jack as the high card cause i'm actually thinking AK here or a lower pair. Also flops that have 2 diamonds unless maybe a King is one of them then I would hope to call a small CB. Also if your lucky enough for some kind of Up/down straight draw say 9 10 J flops(unlikely) I probably check and try to see a cheap turn but if they contain 2 diamonds I'm check raising hard. Take the positional advantage away and at the same time define villains hand. If you are re-raised you can always fold and have a lot of chips still to play. But at least define villains hand and quit being afraid. If you fold every time you raise and get re-raised you will be RUN OVER. PERIOD.
why do the odds matter at all if;
1) We are OOP
2) Have just under 60bb left early in the tournamnet if we fold.
3) Are being 3-bet when we opened UTG.
Dot we want to avoid marginal situations early?
IMO calling just because we have 5:1 and a 25% chance of winning against the very tightest range of his. Doesnt negate the fact that we dont want to play these marginal spots early and there is no garentee we can get all the money in post flop.
1. Why we will bet alot of flops post-flop taking his positional advantage away.
2. We call 100 more and end up check-folding the flop we still have 58 bbs left and it will still be early in the tournament.
3. Until we get a read on this player I like to assume that I'M the better player and I for 1 am not scared to play a pot with a weaker player. He has to prove me otherwise or at least out-flop me.
4. (I added one for the last paragraph) Tightest range? Marginal spots? No one is saying go all-in here pre or post-flop. What is the villains range BTW? No one knows. Most villains in $4 tourneys are idiots and you shouldn't be afraid to play against them.
Sorry had to post my thoughts....that's the great thing about this site. All of the points of view. But together LET'S PUNISH THEM ALL!!!!!
