Shumkoolie
Legend
Silver Level
Okay, so I final tabled the $2.50 PLO8 multi-entry (max. 3 entries - I entered just once). I late-regged (don't remember how late, but it was a few levels in, so probably about 30 minutes or so. However, that's not relevant to the hand that ultimately busted me from the tournament.
Blinds were 5k/10k (no antes). I was UTG with just over 54k. Here are stack sizes:
SB: 278k (big chip leader) - posted SB
BB: 62.9k - posted BB
Myself: 54.3k
Cutoff: 86.9k
Button: 77.2k
I am dealt Ac Kd Jh Jc so I have nut flush possibilities. I min-raised to 20k, and action folded around to the BB who effectively put me all in. My obvious read is 4 low cards, and with PLO8, there's ALWAYS a high hand, and not always a low, so I figure I'm not in bad shape, heads-up with a chance to double up.
So I call. As expected, opponent has Ad 2s 3s Ts
I ran these hands through an O8 odds calculator and this is what I got.
Probably of my scooping: 34%; Opponent: 31%
Probably of high for me: 69%; Opponent: 31%
Probably of low for me: 0%; Opponent: 56%
EV for me: .52%; Opponent: .49%
So overall, I don't hate his/her call, but I am liking my chances at this point.
Board runs out 9d 7s 3h 6h Td so my opponent scoops with 2 pair and knocks me out of the tournament.
Now, should I have folded and wait for a better spot though knowing I'm getting a little short. These type of hands tend to have pretty good value late in tournaments and I have played them and been on the winning side of these types of situations before. I guess the only thing different I could have done was just make a pot size raise, though possibly, there's no difference in the outcome.
Or is this just variance and my play wasn't terrible?
Here's a screenshot of my cash. Pretty good ROI for a single bullet.
Blinds were 5k/10k (no antes). I was UTG with just over 54k. Here are stack sizes:
SB: 278k (big chip leader) - posted SB
BB: 62.9k - posted BB
Myself: 54.3k
Cutoff: 86.9k
Button: 77.2k
I am dealt Ac Kd Jh Jc so I have nut flush possibilities. I min-raised to 20k, and action folded around to the BB who effectively put me all in. My obvious read is 4 low cards, and with PLO8, there's ALWAYS a high hand, and not always a low, so I figure I'm not in bad shape, heads-up with a chance to double up.
So I call. As expected, opponent has Ad 2s 3s Ts
I ran these hands through an O8 odds calculator and this is what I got.
Probably of my scooping: 34%; Opponent: 31%
Probably of high for me: 69%; Opponent: 31%
Probably of low for me: 0%; Opponent: 56%
EV for me: .52%; Opponent: .49%
So overall, I don't hate his/her call, but I am liking my chances at this point.
Board runs out 9d 7s 3h 6h Td so my opponent scoops with 2 pair and knocks me out of the tournament.
Now, should I have folded and wait for a better spot though knowing I'm getting a little short. These type of hands tend to have pretty good value late in tournaments and I have played them and been on the winning side of these types of situations before. I guess the only thing different I could have done was just make a pot size raise, though possibly, there's no difference in the outcome.
Or is this just variance and my play wasn't terrible?
Here's a screenshot of my cash. Pretty good ROI for a single bullet.