$11 NLHE STT: 99 vs reg post

[FastandFurious]

poker stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 6 players - View hand 1316365
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP: t1572 31.44 BBs
Hero (CO): t1250 25 BBs
BTN: t4568.00 91.36 BBs - VPIP: 13, PFR: 8, 3B: 3, AF: 1.1, Hands: 2786
SB: t1960 39.20 BBs
BB: t1415 28.30 BBs
UTG: t2735 54.70 BBs

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is CO with 9 :spade: 9 :diamond:
2 folds, Hero raises to t150, BTN calls t150, 2 folds

Flop: (t375) 6 :club: 3 :spade: 8 :club: (2 players)
Hero bets t280, BTN raises to t4418 all in, Hero folds

BTN is a known 16+ tabler with a 4-5% ROI.. Anyway he is a tight player and haven't seen spazzing out on me..

Filtered Stat BTN: 1.6/15/11 hands:1.0k

Was it a good or nitty fold?

I usually bet 200 here but against him I thought betting a bit more to show real strength (like it's really for value).. and fold to a reraise cuz I don't think I'll be ahead often.. correct or disagree?

 

[baudib1]

cawling

 

[Pascal-lf]

I call, there's tons of draws and you've got like 1/3 of your stack already in and you've got an overpair plus a backdoor straight draw/

 

[WiZZiM]

Call, so likely he's making some sort of pointless play or he hit a pair with his 87s or whatever.

 

[only_bridge]

Easy fold IMO, but Im a mouse.

 

[Pascal-lf]

Why would you fold here? What range do you put him on? IMO his range includes tons of draws and top pairs, very few overpairs, random pair+backdoor draw combos, and very little else.

 

[OzExorcist]

Unless you think it's likely that we're being seriously out-leveled I call this. Pretty much everything that beats us is usually either raising smaller for value or flat calling on a slowplay. This is probably a draw / overcards / weak pair / combo and I'd be reasonably confident of being ahead.

 

[Tangerine 53]

Why would you fold here? What range do you put him on? IMO his range includes tons of draws and top pairs, very few overpairs, random pair+backdoor draw combos, and very little else.

Agreed. We've already invested more than a third of our stack and we have an overpair to the board. Looks to me like a guy trying to be table bully and pushing back on what he perceives to be a continuation bet. Feels to me like he has a draw of some sort or poss a lower pair which he's trying to protect.

 

[only_bridge]

Why would you fold here? What range do you put him on? IMO his range includes tons of draws and top pairs, very few overpairs, random pair+backdoor draw combos, and very little else.

I dont know, but when I played 11$ SnG's the regs were so unbelivibly nitty. They would re-raise with AA, and call with TT-KK, so thats what I would put him on.

 

[baudib1]

We can pretty happily stack off even when we're well behind his range here due to pot odds.