$11 NLHE MTT: SCOOP 08 - L |AJs in BB

[mariussica88]

SB stats after 36 hands: VPIP 33 PFR 17 Limp 14 3-Bet 6.67
CO stats after 36 hands: VPIP 26 PFR 17

Do you guys think that calling here from me is a loose play?

pokerstars - 1250/2500 Ante 325 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players


BTN: 64,858 (25.9 bb)
SB: 27,294 (10.9 bb)
Hero (BB): 86,053 (34.4 bb)
UTG: 228,251 (91.3 bb)
UTG+1: 110,120 (44 bb)
MP: 56,108 (22.4 bb)
MP+1: 108,650 (43.5 bb)
CO: 132,485 (53 bb)

8 players post ante of 325, SB posts 1,250, Hero posts BB 2,500

Pre Flop: (pot: 6,350) Hero has
4 folds, CO raises to 7,500, fold, SB raises to 26,969 and is all-in, Hero calls 24,469, fold

Flop: (64,038, 2 players)

Turn: (64,038, 2 players)

River: (64,038, 2 players)

Results: 64,038 pot (0 rake)
Final Board:

Spoiler

SB shows : (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 26%, Flop 11%, Turn 7%)

Hero shows : (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 74%, Flop 89%, Turn 93%)

Hero wins 64,038

 

[300HPGOD]

First thing to write here is we should never be calling this based on the stack we have. This is a jam or fold spot and not a spot where you want to put in roughly 1/3rd of your stack by just calling. From that a few questions arise like how wise has cutoff been opening lately (I see they are 17 pre raise) but how wide have they been in the last few orbits, do they always 3x open or is this one different?

Then we have range SB which is also 17 pre flop raise and with 11 BBs over a raiser already in the pot I put them pretty tight (I was wrong looking at the results but we dont know that playing the hand). I start to think of worse hands that SB could be doing this with than ours. AJ off is def there, prob A10 suited, maybe KQ suited, maybe A9 suited and I would think thats it. I would have them at A9 suited +, 55+. Given that plus we still have the opener to act I would fold but again, last thing I would do is just call.

 

[fundiver199]

If SB is getting it in somewhat wide, you are more or less flipping with him, and since you already put in a big blind, and there is an ante, calling will be marginally profitable in chip EV against him. But CO is still in the hand, and if he comes back over the top, you are in a really bad spot, and for that reason I would fold.

 

[mikeajax15]

This is a clear fold indeed for above reasoning.

Sb cant shove to light with 10bb because co can call profitable very wide because of the pot odds.