re: Poker & $1.10 NLHE MTT Turbo: Playing AA v dry board
@BentleyBoy
This is a spot where a lot of people misplay, even most of midstake regs don't know exactly how to play these spots. And problem for you is that, judging from answers, nobody in this forum can help you with answer that makes sense. On the other hand, lucky you, I've analyzed these spots a lot and can tell you exactly what to do.
These flops are not good for EP pre-flop raiser, because villain can have all 3 sets and hero shouldn't have 22. Villain has, narrower range and more nuts which give him huge nuts advantage percentage wise. Think about it this way: Hero's opening range is roughly 15% and hero has 6 sets, Villains calling range is roughly 4% and he has 9 sets. If you cross multiply and do the math, it turns out that villain is 6 times more likely to have nuts on this board. For these reasons you MUST play these flops extremely cautiously, and check flop with 100% of your range, including all your overpairs, and sets. The worst way to play it is to bet big, because you are committing your hand against all sets that villain has.
When we check flop and villain bets, with AA we are blocking A9. That makes it that if we raise, villain is less likely to call us with 9x hand(since we are blocking A9) and more likely that villain will call us with set. It is actually better to check-raise KK and QQ, because they don't block A9s and can get called by worse hand and they need more protection. With AA, it is check call flop.
You misplayed flop, so what to do on the turn? When you bet pot on the flop, villain shouldn't raise with sets, he should be willing to give you more chance to bluff and bet with overpairs, even though you shouldn't pot overpairs, most fish do play like that. So, when villain calls, you can't conclude that he has capped range, not at all. Villain's range is most likely not capped because of your sizing, and he still at least 6 times more likely than you to have sets. For these reasons, with AA you should check call the turn and check fold the river.
Now, thanks to me, you exactly how to play these spots perfectly.
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