Arjonius
Legend
Silver Level
The flop was checked around.all the same this hand trash , u need fold in flop always, only in board u have 228 or 22x, and other situathion need fold, because no value..
The flop was checked around.all the same this hand trash , u need fold in flop always, only in board u have 228 or 22x, and other situathion need fold, because no value..
Read my post from above, this hand not have value, only sick play in flop this hand because need understand this -EV...
Re: JJ from the CO -- Raising pre flop from your position is a fine play, however as others have noted, when you call the big reraise from behind, you're hoping for a coin flip situation at best.
We first have to consider the range of the hands that we can put the raiser on. Since this is a micro-limit, we have to widen his range a little. I'd include AQ+,99+ roughly. Without any additional information on this player, we'd have to assume that he is towards the higher part of this range. Against this range, JJ have about a 50% equity. At this point, you're calling $.72 to win $.98, which is about 1.35 to 1, which would mean that you would need to win about 42% of the time, making this a good call from an odds standpoint, however this call can turn borderline in a hurry if we tighten the villains range.
From an EV perspective, you're looking at a +EV of 8bb or $.16 (since you would win $.98, 50% of the time, and lose $.72, 50% of the time). I think this is a good call if this the range we put the villain on, however this is may not be profitable if the villain was any tighter.
Re: 28o from the BB -- You're pretty fortunate here to get a free look all the way to the turn to have an open ended straight draw. When you raise the turn, you're basically making a play to take the pot down here while still having your outs. We're fortunate not to get reraised here in hindsight, however, as this could take us off a potential big hand. Since the other players in the hand have folded when the action is back to you on the turn, I'm in favor of a call here since you are not drawing to the nuts and could easily be raising into a made hand that could make a large 3bet to take us off the hand.
On the river, donking the river is fine here, however if you're going to raise the river here, I'd go ahead and shove it all-in most of the time here. You're likely to get called by two pair hands that include an A, as well as sets and possibly smaller straights, although some of these hands may fold in this spot. There are going to be a smaller amount of times that we lose to the nuts here and given the action, that was a possibility. So I'd recommend generally being more careful with this type of hand.
Hope this was helpful (This is my first time giving detailed hand analysis, so feel free to give me any feedback here).
In case no one posted this. Everything you need to know
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kP9CBtSW0kA
Good morning. First off thank you for your input. Well written, concise and easy to follow so I was able to pull a lot from it.
I see your point about going all in on the river. The raise re-raise was really more of a waste of time than anything.
And you were partially correct when you said I was trying to steal the pot on the turn. It was a bluff as well as a safety. Because I didn't have a made hand I wanted to place a safety bet just to see if villain had a hand or not. Also I was a little concerned that if I didn't bet villain may have bet higher. I had a feeling if they had something they would slow play me and I wanted to see the river.
Was this too risky?
This was definitely too risky in my opinion since the action had been folded around to you on the turn and your call would have capped the action on the turn. So you would have gotten to the river for one bet, inside of opening the action back to the original raiser who would then be able to reraise.
Not having a made hand here lends more credence to calling here as you don't have a hand that you can raise for value or defend to keep the villain from outdrawing you.