MediaBLITZ
Legend
Silver Level
You need to listen to this guy - you may be a demon at game theory and math but everything you have posted screams poker newbie (1st level thinker). Not an insult - we all started there at sometime. There are an incredible number of nuances and variables (not just math). You simply have not not seen enough hands to experience the reality of the theory. We are talking thousands upon thousands of hands you must experience to start deciphering the game. When your experience catches up your 1st level thinking will become automatic and you will start going deeper - it is only your lack of experience hindering that right now. Hang in there and keep playing - come this spring you will be saying things like - "I never would have played it that way last Thanksgiving", "That was never a consideration a few months ago", etc
That's incorrect, and it's so incorrect I think you should seriously re-evaluate how much you think you understand common equities.
JJ is 53.6% vs. TT,AK, KK. Of course that's not the range I gave you, which was TT-AA, AK, AQs. It makes no sense whatsoever to put TT, KK in someone's range and not JJ, QQ, AA. Against TT-AA, AK, AQs, JJ has 44%.
Assuming that people play rationally is incorrect. Also, what you assume to be rational may not be relevant because you don't know what you're doing. The fact that you want people to fold draws or weak hands regardless of how much you've raised reveals serious fundamental flaws in your thinking.
Do you want people to fold weak hands? If so, then you may want to ask yourself how you intend to make money playing poker. If someone's range is wide, it is very simple to adjust to that. You value bet thinner.
If you get it in good and they call with worse, then that's good. Whether they catch a card on the river or not doesn't matter. RESULTS DO NOT MATTER.
Saying AK is a drawing hand is standard first-level beginner/fish thinking. You just said how often people call with anything, so obviously AK is better than anything, even unimproved. Thinking of hands as "made hands" and "drawing hands" is useless because hands have equities vs. ranges, and AK's equity is better than most "made hands." If you think that 9/10ths of the time the flop will go the other way, then you simply don't understand anything about the math of poker, and it's important for you to understand why.