I also found this ....... pretty helpful.
Making Better C-Bets
By Daniel Skolovy
Yada, yada, yada.
The main problem with this article, and the previous Daniel Skolovy article, is that he makes too many assumptions.
Remember Your Perceived Range, Too
Try and get into your opponent's shoes. Think about what he thinks you have. If it appears the flop is unlikely to have helped you, you should be less inclined to continuation bet.
An example: you raise from MP and get called by a player on the button. The flop comes 3
3
2
. Your bet isn't going to be given respect because the vast majority of the time you will have missed this flop completely.
Continuation bets work most often when flops come that look like they would help a pre-flop raiser.
When playing rec-fish, they aren't thinking about what you have at all. Hell, they're
barely thinking about what
they have, and this is an example of a hit or miss flop. Fire off a c-bet and they're gonna fold if they don't have a three. Rec-fish aren't playing Poker; they're playing Group Solitaire.
As for leveling, I know -- at most -- three players who can level, and I'm still not sure of that third guy. Even the first two still haven't realized that they're playing me at Level-2 and I'm playing them at Level-3. As for the others, they're working at Level-1 at best, and Level-0 for the most part.
If you make a habit out of continuation betting and then giving up when called, your opponents will take notice. They will start calling your raises in position, calling your flop bet and just taking the pot away from you on the turn.
No they won't. I've played with the same line-up for over a year and their game hasn't changed one iota in all that time. There are a few exceptions, but those who have shown improvement, I can count 'em on one hand with fingers left over. Even these players have leaks galore. They still open limp, and the one who's shown the most improvement overplays over pairs and TPTK.
You c-bet, Mr. Fof calls and you know he's got something, so you fold to his turn bet. Time and time again, he shows something to some other fish who called after you fold. You're not gonna get exploited by fish who aren't paying you (or any other player) any attention whatsoever. Just last night, the nittiest player I've ever seen took down an impressive win. I mean, this guy never played except if he had the big blind and wasn't raised. As for his raising range, it was (A,A). Period. He raised three times, got called, and every time that's what he had: pocket rockets.
I've done the same thing myself: run card dead for a half dozen orbits, finally get a playable hand that smashes the flop, and still get paid off. They haven't noticed that I haven't played a hand in an hour or more.
Skolovy is assuming your opponents can think, but you're not playing in the Big Game with
wsop bracelet holders. You're playing against opponents who think "
equity" has something to do with real estate, "range" is something you cook on or where cowboys work, and "pot
odds" is soup that got burnt when it stayed on the range too long. They'll call when their stacks have dwindled down to less than five BBs with very speculative hands, they'll bet without regard for SPR, their bet sizing defies explanation.
When it comes to c-betting, if in doubt, just do it. Rec-fish aren't thinking players, and the chances you're being exploited are between slim and none, and much closer to the latter than the former.