Stu_Ungar
Legend
Silver Level
I thought I'd add that from the two lists of wins and losses from AK.
The first two losses were against players with 3-bet stats of under 2%, This means AA - JJ (you are dominated by AA-KK and have to improve to beat (QQ-JJ) Overall you dont have an edge here.
The third guy had 3-bet of 17% you are ahead of his 3 bet range and should expect a 4-bet to fold him.. if / when it dosent you have to ask why and look to his 4bet or shove stats for an answer of if you are ahead of his range.
He flipped over KK... well what else would you expect him to do with KK other than raise and raise, but the question is really.. is his range wide enough that he does this with other hands which I dominate.
The wins on the other hand...
The first is against a 5% range
He is playing 99+ (so you have FE against his small pairs)
He is playing AK AQs AJs so you dominate / or tie his Ax hands.
You still lose to AA KK, but now his range contains lots of hands which you beat.. so you raise.
The second is a 22%.. (hand in the cookie jar!!) You just beat his range here, so you raise.
In both cases, if they reraised, you then need to look at their 5 bet / shove stats.. are you ahead of it or do they only do this with AA/KK?
Generaly speaking, AK is breakeven against a shove at around 5% range, because it wins 33% of the time and the shove after your 4-bet probably gives you correctcalling odds.
The first two losses were against players with 3-bet stats of under 2%, This means AA - JJ (you are dominated by AA-KK and have to improve to beat (QQ-JJ) Overall you dont have an edge here.
The third guy had 3-bet of 17% you are ahead of his 3 bet range and should expect a 4-bet to fold him.. if / when it dosent you have to ask why and look to his 4bet or shove stats for an answer of if you are ahead of his range.
He flipped over KK... well what else would you expect him to do with KK other than raise and raise, but the question is really.. is his range wide enough that he does this with other hands which I dominate.
The wins on the other hand...
The first is against a 5% range
He is playing 99+ (so you have FE against his small pairs)
He is playing AK AQs AJs so you dominate / or tie his Ax hands.
You still lose to AA KK, but now his range contains lots of hands which you beat.. so you raise.
The second is a 22%.. (hand in the cookie jar!!) You just beat his range here, so you raise.
In both cases, if they reraised, you then need to look at their 5 bet / shove stats.. are you ahead of it or do they only do this with AA/KK?
Generaly speaking, AK is breakeven against a shove at around 5% range, because it wins 33% of the time and the shove after your 4-bet probably gives you correctcalling odds.
