Test your Small Stakes No Limit Hold 'Em Part 7

Hero flopped a set in this hand. When you hold a pp, what percentage of the time will

  • ~8%

    Votes: 7 21.2%

  • ~12%

    Votes: 25 75.8%

  • ~15%

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • ~19%

    Votes: 1 3.0%
  • Total voters
    33
Shoestringx

Shoestringx

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I just posted some simple calculations in the Poker General thread, I am going ot take some time later tonight (maybe tomorrow) and do some more complicated examples like the one Zebranky mentioned.
 
zebranky

zebranky

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funny thing...

the actuals odds of flopping "trips or better" is almost exactly 12%.

Iif you have pocket Tens, then the odds of flopping 3 tens (or better) is 11.75 % - but there's also a .25% chance of a trip board (e.g. 999) for a fullhouse, making it pretty much spot on 12% to flop trips/boat/quad.

Weird how it works out, huh?
 
loopmeister

loopmeister

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zowzza said:
I'd love to see the formula.
Click to expand...
In numbers:
1 - 48/50*47/49*46/48 = 0.1176
In words:
100% minus the odds of NOT flopping a ten (i.e. any of the remaining 48 cards coming down on any of the three flop cards). You read this as "one minus the prob of not a ten AND not a ten AND not a ten".

This then gives the odds of flopping AT LEAST one ten (two would give you quads). This number also includes FH's (from a paired board).
 
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