Low Straight on high Board??

[Munchrs]

Ignore preflop stat.
Villian stats are VPIP:12
TAF: 3

1)What hands are you putting Villian on?
2)What do you make of the check-raise on the river?
3)Is that a good situation to valubet? Why/why not?

***** Game number #14285590332 *****
HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.05/$0.10) - 2008/01/03 - 01:19:58 (ET)
Table 'Beagle IV' 9-max
Seat 9 (BTN) has the button.
oz56: is sitting out
SB posts small blind [$0.05]
Hero posts big blind [$0.10]
Seat 2 : SB with $23.25.
Seat 3 : Hero with $12.00.
Seat 4 : UTG with $10.00.
Seat 5 : UTG+1 with $9.35.
Seat 6 : MP1 with $11.65.
Seat 7 : MP2 with $5.80.
Seat 8 : CO? with $9.70.
Seat 9 : BTN with $17.30.

** Dealing hole cards **
Dealt to Hero :

Sklansky group: 5
oz56 leaves the table
UTG raises $0.20 to $0.30
UTG+1: folds
MP1: folds
MP2: folds
CO?: folds
2675 joins the table at seat #1
BTN: folds
SB calls [$0.25]
Hero calls [$0.20]
** Dealing Flop ** [Potsize: $0.9]

SB: checks
Hero: checks
UTG: checks
** Dealing Turn ** [Potsize: $0.9]

SB bets [$0.90]
Hero raises $1.80 to $2.70
UTG: folds
SB calls [$1.80]
** Dealing River ** [Potsize: $6.3]

SB: checks
Hero bets [$3.50]
SB raises $11.60 to $15.10

** Showdown **
The results have been hidden.

Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum

 

[Emperor IX]

I doubt AQ with 2.3x starting stack wouldn't re-raise preflop, but there are times that it happens. Also, I can't see AQ potting the turn. that is the safest board ever for the flopped nut straight and there'd be no reason to bet at it oop. It seems to me that most of the time you're seeing AJ/AT, KQ, QJ, etc. basically anything with a pair and a straight draw.I'd say that KQ is probably the most likely. I'll call this most every time.

 

[Cheetah]

Terrible situation. Hero loses to AQ and Q9 and ties with 79. The latter 2 hands are likely SB hands. And AQ is too. Re-raising from SB with AQ is not necessarily a good play with a drawing hand OOP.

Because the board is so dangerous, I would have checked the river behind and not bet to re-open the betting.

Why would he re-raise so much? Unless he has the AQ, it is not a good thing to do. With four obvious str8 cards, I think Hero is beat more often than not. The pot-odds are about 1:1. So to call profitably, we must be confident that more than half the time we don't face a better str8 but a set or 2 pairs. I have a hard time justifying the odds.

I would lean towards folding. But to be sure, not an easy fold. The mistake in my view was the river value-bet on such dangerous board. In most cases I am faced with difficult decisions, I can later re-trace it back to a previous mistake made in the hand.

 

[pigpen02]

Before anybody else says it, "Fold pre-flop".

 

[pantin007]

Before anybody else says it, "Fold pre-flop".

should of bbut seeing that he didnt he has to call here IMO
he is getting odds and already committed just under half his stack
plus u have the 3rd nutzz
so i insta call and if im beat i couldnt do anything about it

 

[Emperor IX]

You don't have the turn "nutzz" AQ has you drawing dead to running spades.

 

[pantin007]

You don't have the turn "nutzz" AQ has you drawing dead to running spades.

sry i mean 3rd nutzzz not turn

 

[viking999]

If he raised any less, I'd say you have to call, but man he's really asking for a fold. I don't see why he'd think he can bluff you given the strength you showed on the turn and the fact that the river is a total blank. There's no hand that our straight beats that makes much sense. I think the most likely is 88, but that's a big stretch (bad turn and river play on his part). I honestly think he played 97, Q9, or AQ very coyly, so I think a fold is in order. If he raised to $10 on the river, I'd probably call.