This is a discussion on $25 NLHE 6-max: big blind special, gone wrong within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; I'm not sure how to pull hand histories out of ignition, but I recently played this hand and I'm stuck on it for a lot
I would bet the turn here, just to confuse him, I don't have any info about villain, if he check-raises than I would go carefully, depending on the bet size...
I would put him on AK, the way he plays the hand..
re: Poker & $25 NLHE 6-max: big blind special, gone wrong
Just fold this pre. Yes you are getting a good price, but your hand is really bad, you are out of position against original raiser, and SB should have a very strong range to get involved. Postflop is fine. You could lead the turn, but its sort of obvious, and you are likely not getting 2 streets of value anyway with a 1-liner to a straight. So its fine to mix it up and do a bit of both. When it goes check-check on the turn, you have to lead for value on the river. And I dont think, you can fold this. Most people would bet 64 and a flush draw again on the turn, and if has you beat, its just a cooler.
Villain had J9 spades. I felt like villain would barrel turn, which is why i checked. Part of my river call was based on AK of spades blocking a lot of flushes considering he raised preflop. Also, people at these stakes will commonly make big river bluffs with air...so i often call with high end bluff catchers when a bet doesn't make sense. I debated whether i should play the hand regardless, whether i should lead turn, and whether i should call river. Thanks for feedback.
You are calling around 6 to win a pot of 18, so you only need to be good around 1 in 3 times. For sure your hand is only a bluff catcher, but at 25NL you have to assume, most people are able to sometimes bluff the river, especially when then can represent something like a flush.
And again how many spade combos can he even have here? AX and KX is not possible, and he opened from HJ seat, so low suited connectors should not be in his range. So its something like QJ, QT, JT, J9, T9, which is only 5 combos. That being said this is the bottom of your value range, so you are probably supposed to do a partial here and only call sometimes.
River Ks. Hero bets $1.75, Villain raises to $7.50. Hero calls.
I'll reveal villains hand later. Thoughts? I'll add I'm definitely not happy with how I played the hand...regardless of result, hence why I'm posting here.
You called a 1/3 pot bet on the flop with an 8% chance of hitting a 5. Due to the nature of implied odds, you are going to have to win at least $3 more dollars from this hand to break even.
Villain's bet is pretty weak here considering everything. After you see the SB fold, maybe consider a check-raise to take the pot down now. If Villain is weak, he might not pay you off as much as you'd hope. As the hand progressed, especially with the check behind on the turn, it looks like he has something like KQs - KJs.
You can look at turn bet sizes, but perhaps $1.5 to $2 into that ~$3 dollar pot would be a start. IT would be safer to look for value among his Ax hands, though I'm not sure it would be the most profitable.
Hello! I think 34o is a pretty vulnerable combination for playing postflop. When I wrote the message, I did not look at your answer below and thought that the villain had something like A5 or set. An interesting outcome.