10nl AQ flops top pair and gets into some multiway trouble

[zachvac]

Stacks: - Austin3484 with $10.15 - abregu2006 with $5.30 - Tymur with $9.15 - zachvac with $10.00 - townhouse234 with $1.65 - BigRandom with $8.75 - jaketrevvor with $10.90 - Aragon1969 with $6.05

Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: pokerstars
* - Dealt to zachvac:

* - Sklansky group 2
Preflop:
**- 2 players fold.
* - zachvac raises $0.30 to $0.40
**- 2 players fold.
jaketrevvor calls [$0.40]
* - aragon1969 calls [$0.35]
* - 1 players folded.
* - Total folds this street: 5
* - Potsize: $1.3
Flop:

* - aragon1969 bets [$0.10]
**- 1 players fold.
* - zachvac raises $0.50 to $0.60 jaketrevvor calls [$0.60]
* - aragon1969 calls [$0.50]
* - Potsize: $3.1
Turn:

* - Aragon1969: checks
* - zachvac bets [$1.25] jaketrevvor calls [$1.25]
* - aragon1969 calls [$1.25]
* - Potsize: $6.85
River:

* - Aragon1969: checks
* - zachvac: checks jaketrevvor bets [$3.80]
* - aragon1969 calls [$3.80] [ all-in ]
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jt (yes from CC as well) had been playing very loose and aggressive, and I definitely wouldn't put it past her to bluff on that last spade, I probably call if Aragon folds. But then he calls the all-in behind. Is this a set? 2 pair? He didn't have a chance to act on the river so I have no idea if he hit his flush draw either, although he would have had to call the flop with a runner-runner draw. I'm also getting pretty good odds here, can I call this?
https://www.cardschat.com

 

[c9h13no3]

Eeew. This is an ugly spot. Our villain's ranges are mega-huge.

JT could call the flop & turn bets with any number of hands. I think the following are likely:

QsKs, JX, 77, 88, a AsXs, or 4X. QT picked up a better draw after the flop.

The main issue with this hand is that there are no draws that one would call a flop bet with, and get completed on the river. So he's either bluffing a broken draw with something like QT, or he picked up a spade draw in addition to a pair of aces, 4's, or he's holding QsTs.

I really doubt that he's slowplaying a set or 2 pair this way. A7, J7 seems unlikely, as thats a lot of betting to get through with such a mediocre holding.

Its such a weird series of events. You're right, aragon calling makes a crying call tough. He's been sort of check/calling all of his chips off, so it seems like a really bizarre move.

There are just so few hands that would take his line. 4s5s, QsTs, AsXs, A8, and J8 are the hands that take villain's line (sanely) that have you beat. I think this is worth a crying call just because you're getting ~4:1 on your money. If you're ahead 25% of the time, this play will be profitable. You may see bluffs out of JakeTrevor, and weaker aces from the calling station enough to be profitable.

 

[allndave]

i think i played that same hand few days ago. i made bad call,was live game and he was shaking looking at the wall etc. i knew i was beat but made donkey call anyway . he had 44 for a set.

 

[GivPeace]

Whats throwing me off is aragon .10 bet on thee flop but I am still going to put him on AJ. As for Jake I am going to go ahead and say J10 probably wrong but it seems to fit the scenario, guessing you folded right.

 

[switch0723]

fold fold fold fold. Neither of them are afraid of that ace in any way so you probably have the worst hand. JT is my hero so probably has 9,t of spades

 

[zachvac]

*** SHOW DOWN ***
jaketrevvor: shows [Td Qd] (high card Ace)
Aragon1969: shows [9d Ad] (a pair of Aces)
Aragon1969 collected $13.75 from pot
zachvac: cries

 

[switch0723]

What a play by jt, it would have worked if aragorn and you had folded and that donk didnt call. If only.