Good to hear from you. I dont see you at the CC
freerolls anymore and havent seen many posts from you but I dont always check the cash game side of things so maybe Im just missing them.
Pre flop: easy call with 44 unless one of the blinds is super agg which we wouldnt know at this point being there for only 3 hands unless we have history with them.
Flop: We flop bottom set on a two spade board. Yes we have a spade but I am not slowplaying this as there are some hidden straight draws as well. I expect to get called by overpairs as well as some flush draws and maybe the big flush draws re raise us which is what I would want. Villain bets about 50 cents into a pot of .75 of I am constructing it correctly so I would be raising that bet to at least 1.75 but possibly as high as $2. If they fold then it was probably a hand that we werent going to get a ton from anyway without them hitting something. Its a value raise but there is a protection element to it as well and I personally dont think bottom sets on wet boards should be slowplayed. You call which leaves you vulnerable to turns where there is another spade or even a 9,8, or 7 (since connectors are at least a part of villains range) and face a big bet. I prefer raising here on the flop.
Turn: The turn card on face is good since it takes away flush worries and overpairs villain could have would not be worried about you having 6x unless it is 66 which is unlikely (although apparently not as unlikely as we would think). It does hurt action from flush draws a little which could be another reason to raise on the flop. When villain checks to you I would be thinking 10x hand or a flush draw that wants to see if you check behind and get a free river card. I would bet as you did on the turn when checked to but I dont think it needs to be that big. We dont have to worry about flush draws and with villain checking I think their overpair range is extinct. Therefore we should be betting an amount that gets 10x to call (and not worry since we want them to be open to calling on river too) and also gets draws to still call thinking they have their implied
odds. I would go small here. The pot is $1.75 as played (I think) so I would bet something like .80 here to keep in the draws and 10x. As played when we get check raised I am with you, I am thinking more like uh oh spaghetti o's. I would make my decision right here whether I am going with this hand or not. That is not to say I would raise their raise its just knowing in my head if I call this turn raise there is not a river I am folding including another 6 or 10 (which I would hate). I would not raise the turn bet since I am either crushed by 66 or 1010 or they are doing this with some hand they shouldnt be doing it with but it would be a hand that has no
equity like a flush draw or 10x (which has little equity). I would want to keep their crap in if in fact they have it and if they do have me beat me here then it is what it is and we are getting in regardless.
River: 7 of hearts is not a bad hand. You mention be worried about 76 here but I am not since 76 would not or should not be checking the turn since there is two spades out there and they cant have 76 of spades with the 6 of spades on the board. We are in the same position as we were on the turn and only worried about 1010 or 66. We called the turn and should have thought at that point if I am calling the turn then I am calling river so if I was in this hand I would have pretty close to snap called the river knowing that I am calling every river card after the turn action. In my mind I would be thinking if its set over set or set over quads then it is what it is and being 100BBs deep (I assume thats what we are effective here) you are going to get it all from me set over set.
I feel like this hand is a cooler that you are blaming yourself for and I dont think you should be. You made a good read that the villain could easily have the better hand when they check raise on the turn but I just dont think at 10NL and being 100BBs deep that we should be folding on the turn with what we had nor should we be folding river after calling the turn and going to the river with $5.60 ish in our stack and the pot at $8.95 (again, if my math is correct but should be close to correct at least). set over set hands suck... when we are on the short end of them.
