J9 has to be a shove here. You are giving that BB a LOT of walks, it’s something you simply can’t do. Again, i’d literally be shoving 100% of hands here, ever 23off i’d be shoving in. We have a lot of fold equity vs this player, we gave him a walk earlier which helps our image. We don’t have a lot of time before the blinds hit 200/400, picking up chips is what we need to do.
Simply put, DONT blind out. It’s probably the worst thing you can do in STT is blinding out, it will leave you with more bubbles and more third places.
J9off actually is a really good hand to be shoving with as if we are called, it’s less likely he has those cards in his hand, if he’s calling with stuff like AK and whatever. You will be surprised how wide we can/need to shove from the SB.
Just to correct something you said right after this hand, along the lines of “If i had pushed players around i might be out right now”. It’s true to a point, but the problem with it is, when you actually get in the money, you are going to be a shortstack more often, this means that you will be left with 3rd and 2nd placings a lot with few firsts.
Just to give you an example of what we call “distribution”. I’ve got a bad, losing players distribution shown here firstly (example 1), you can see that he finishes the most in 3rd, 4th and 5th places, he bubbles far too much and rarely wins. It’s because he plays way too tight and doesn’t accumulate a big enough stack on average as he gets in the money.
Let’s look at a big winningplayer(example 2), notice how different it is, first placing is now one of the highest, 2nd and 3rd are quite high too, his bubbles are low and his 5th and 6th placings are quite high also. What this tells us is that he is taking risks when he gets 5th and 6th handed in order to accumulate chips for the bubble. Going into the bubble with a bigger stack than you’re opponants means that you will have a lot more options and be able to push players around and steal blinds. That means we also get In the money (ITM) higher than our opponants on average, which leaves us with more first placings, which is really what we want to go for.
So example 1 is from a 1% ROI player, barely making any money at all. Example 2 is a 11% ROI player making nearly $2 per game!!
ITM with J6off-
We’ve given this guy a lot of walks, i’ve been saying shove all this time, but since we are now ITM this is closer to a fold. However we have a very tight image, and i hate letting players get off the hook, so i’d be shoving this for sure. Usually calling ranges of villains widen when we get ITM but i don’t see us finding a better situation before the next blind hits. We either have to shove from the button into the CL, or hope the CL gives us a wakl when the blinds hit us. Deffo a shove here for me.
73s- Yay, great shove, and you actually now seem to notice that he’s a player that is blinding out, DONT be one of those players! . I’m quite surprised you made this shove, when you insta folded the others, but it’s certainly a good one and one we simply had to make. This guy is the person we need to be shoving against as he is our main competition, we’re essentially fighting for 2nd place right now and shoving wide on his blinds is going to put pressure on him.
88- Calling to hit an 8 with position? We’re way way too short to be thinking like that, we only have 5 BBs we can’t do anything but shove this in preflop. We need to make decisions easier, not harder. The big stack raises, 88 has to be ahead of his raising range here, and we simply cannot call and fold the flop if say an AKQJ10or 9 comes off.
98- super easy push,nice one, we have such a big stack now we really don’t care if he calls or folds. We can never really fold anything in this spot, and since this guy seems to be reeeealy tight, i wouldn’t be folding anything.
IN heads up, if you’re opponent is folding so much, your cards literally don’t matter. When you get the blinds this high, lowering raise sizings helps a lot, even making it 1000 instead of 1200 makes a difference if he shoves and we have to fold.
Ajoff- Just shove when he limps, keep it simple, AJ is probably still way ahead on average, and silly players like this will try and trap with hands like KQ and Ax. After the raise, we need to call, if he has a big hand, oh well. But just shove, we hate it when he flat calls our raise and we miss the flop, it just gets tricky.
37- has to be good enough here, we can’t fold since he’s likely going to raise our blinds next hand, don’t really think we have a choice and he seems pretty tight as well, which is helpful. It’s ugly, but i’d shove.
J3s- easy shove for me, which have the CL and he seems tight, get it in and keep the pressure on him! J3s actually plays pretty well.
89s- Stop overthinking it! You have top pair heads up, you have the best hand! Get it in!