re: Poker & Is This Just Variance?
Originally Posted by XXPXXP
I think if the pay out structure is very sharp, it's going to be a profitable push! but if payout structure is flat, and there're desperate shortstack near by, I would pass this edge. meaning fold.
I don’t see how I could even let that into the equation – I’ve got a 4M stack, I don’t get the luxury of worrying about the payout structure!
Originally Posted by bz54321
It depends on if your feeling was based on passed experience or just fear or some other illogical thing.
You brain new you were good so you went with that. But your gut was telling you something different. It all depends on the reason your gut was telling you something different. Only you know. Was your gut working subconciously from correct data in your brain or was it illogically based on emotions?
ssbn what do you think it was?
I actually read something TonyG posted about folding KK to some guy in a tournament based on his feel that the guy had AA.
Yeah but have you ever read an article where someone had AA and folded because they thought the other guy had KK? Because that’s what this would have been.
I don’t know how to describe it. It certainly was not fear, for any reason other than I play this guy (Lou) or his wife just about every single weekend. He’s a decent player, but one of those players that just refuses to attempt to get any better – I know exactly what he’s doing at almost all times. That doesn’t mean I can call his hand, but I can come close!
My feeling was certainly illogical though. When you consider the implied pot odds
as high as they were, logic, dictates a shove just like I did. But something, obviously illogical, told me to fold because I was going to lose. So I have no idea what my gut feeling was composed of, only that I thought I was going to lose; I did, but I have had it go the other way too in similar spots.
This would be totally different if I thought he had AK+. But based on the fact that I knew AQ was good I had to shove – he had to call off 60% of his stack with A2. In short, there is no way I can fold here unless somehow I can justify feel.