Originally Posted by Aceplayer55
This should read:
Complete on Turn: 2.128%, unless you dont have a set (which occurs 88.2%) in which case your odds are 0%
So the turn probability is actually around .25%.
And the River probability is also misleading.
Fair enough. It's true that the odds of making quads only improve significantly if you flop a set.
These are the odds of getting quads (when dealt a pocket pair) (or a straight flush with two suited and connected cards) WITHOUT assuming that you flopped a set.
*edit* Note that the odds for the turn include quads made on the flop, and the odds for the river include quads made on the flop and the turn. Later today if I have time I'll figure out the odds of making these hands EXACTLY on the turn and river.
on Flop: 0.145 (407.33:1)
by Turn: 0.490 (203.17:1)
by River: 0.816 (121.50:1)
My bad for misinterpreting the original question.