R
Running Nose II
Visionary
Silver Level
I know that this will generate a great number of replies to defend the Rule of Four-Two.How can you defend a rule that is only half right, (their odds on the river are at least correct). To put it simply there is no mathematical justification to support this manipulation of statistics. Whoever thought that, say, with a flush draw after the flop, that although the true odds of making a flush are 4/1, because you have two chances of making it, (the turn and the river), your odds on the turn, are halved to 2/1. It seems like a case of knowing the answer and working backward to find an equation to justify the means. They combine both the turn and the river in the sane calculation and treat them as being mutually inclusive, which they are not. They are mutually exclusive. With nine outs after the flop your chances of making a flush are 4.22/1 on the turn and 4.11/1 on the river