Originally Posted by Comix
We are talking about bubble play. I think you need to be a bit more cautious, to commit preflop there is risking your tournament life. The percentages are in your favor, but sometimes the better play is to win the tournament, not play the percentages.
Very well aware that this is bubble play.
With the exception of a satellite MTT bubble or a weird ICM spot at FT, if you can't commit your MTT life with AA on the bubble, then why even play? Whether it's the early stages, mid stages, or bubble, getting your stack in with AA will always be a +EV play.
I'm not sure how you expect to win an MTT if you're folding AA preflop. Can you please elaborate on that?
By your logic, since you don't want to risk your MTT life with AA, that must be true for the post bubble right? I mean, just because the bubble popped doesn't mean you've got smooth sailing to 1st place. What if you get AA again. Do you fold preflop? Getting it does put your MTT life at risk... Still not sure how you expect to win an MTT without getting your stack in w/ really strong hands at key spots.
BTW, stop worrying about bubbling or min-cashing. Min-cashes isn't what builds your BR. Deep runs in MTTs do. You'll never make deep runs or final tables consistently if you fold AA preflop on the bubble because you're afraid of busting out.