re: Poker & £1000 NLHE Full Ring: 5/10/25 Live 5 flush board
Originally Posted by Marginal
So your saying he never has a bluff nor does he ever have a Ad? And only has SF
Not saying either of those things. I did say I think he believes you don't have a diamond, and he has one.
By your own story, he has changed his game against you, and might well be bluffing, but I would think the value bet semibluff of him having maybe JT with 1 diamond presents a mighty juicy situation for him.
Not being there and limited by how we can use the language to express poker instincts I might put it at something like 20% bluff in this situation with 20% top pair or overpair, and 70% he has a diamond. So you have a 70% chance of losing.
I'd be folding in your spot. But then in my old age, my juevos are shrinking.....