NL thought exploration

[AKQ]

GTO has a light aggression theory

accompanied by its known range and bet sizings on each type of flop

These days Players are very good and play preflop and flop GTO Perfectly
because it is simple



A value or a bluff often at a small GTO sizing (distant broken flops are higher frequency of being dealt out often) K72 J 33 A83
20% bet sizing

40-60% midGTTO sizing K98 QJ2 K54
70-240% high GTO sizing JQ10 KQJ QsJs8h flush flop of 3 of the same suit



The turns are often played player dependent.
As most GTO decisions are well learned preflop
Now the flop is well standardized.
but lets look into player weakness's

How do we spot them if everyone is playing the same? preflop and post ?

Turn actions vary greatly per player


player1 likes to bet 3/4 on the turn with value
but never bluffs 3/4 or semibluffs with 3/4 on the turn

player2 bets 3/4 on value always

bets 3/4 with bluffs and draws alike equally



extra ***
Player 3 likes to bet 1/4 with his draws but will call anything
he Bets 1/4 for Value and 1/4 for Bluffs but he only bluffs in position.



How do you strategize to take out player 1 and 2?


Whats the frequency of player 2s fold equity ?
OR
(Whats the odds player2 has nothing on the turn when he bets?)

 

[sumdumguy]

I hardly ever get into trouble, so if they are aggressive players I expect good cards and so when the other players see what bet they thought I have a project, top pair or suites. Player 2 would retire 65% preflop and 54% postflop.

 

[AKQ]

player 1. Exploit their lack of bluffs: Since player 1 never bluffs with 3/4 pot-sized bets on the turn, you can exploit this in different ways

1. Value bet thinner: Since Player 1 rarely bluffs, you can adjust your own betting strategy by value betting thinner against them. If you have a hand that falls between their value range and what they are likely to call, consider making smaller bets for value. This allows you to extract value from their calling range more effectively, as they are less likely to suspect a bluff.
2. Apply pressure on the river: Knowing that Player 1 rarely bluffs on the turn, you can exploit this by applying pressure on the river. If the board texture changes in a way that doesn't favor their perceived range, consider making well-timed bluffs or overbetting to force them into difficult decisions. This strategy capitalizes on their tendency to overvalue their own hand strength 3 Observe and adjust: It's important to pay attention to Player 1's reactions and adjust your strategy accordingly. If they start to realize that you are calling their turn bets more often, they might adjust their betting pattern or mix in bluffs. Be prepared to adapt and reassess their tendencies as the game progresses.
   
   
   
   
   

2.
Since player 2 bets 3/4 pot size with bluffs and draws equally, it's important to be selective when considering a bluff against them. Look for spots where their range is likely to contain more draws or weaker hands that can fold to your aggression.

 

[AKQ]

Regarding the frequency of player 2's fold equity, it's difficult to provide an exact number without specific context and information on the player's tendencies. Fold equity refers to the likelihood of an opponent folding to a bet or raise. In player 2's case, if they are always betting 3/4 pot size with value hands, their fold equity would be low because they rarely fold to bets. However, if they have a wider betting range that includes weaker hands, their fold equity would be higher. To determine the frequency more accurately, you would need to observe player 2's actions in various situations and collect data over time.