I tend to play very cautiously during the bubble stage, only to end up not making the final table, most of the time.
So I really want to learn optimal bubble strategy. Any tips?
Generally, I think people who play more LAG (Loose/Aggressive) around the bubble will fare better than those who remain super nitty. Around this time, whilst most people feel like you do -- ie just want to make the cash -- there are several rounds of blinds to be won. And better still, just winning the blinds still provides a significant addition to your stack since the blinds are so high.
Now, if everyone is getting loose and aggro, then this idea is not a good one. In that case, just wait for AA, KK, and shove.
At the end of the day, it is difficult to fold your way to first place. Pick your spots, get the money in good, double-triple up a few times early, and then start targeting specific players for their stack. ID the ones (like me) who call too much or overvalue speculative hands.
If you're not shoving, make sure you are playing in position. Playing out of position makes it too easy to suck out and lose to an otherwise marginal hand.
Also -- be careful about c-betting with certain players. Some players will always call a C-Bet. If that is the case, and you don't have the best hand, check it down.
REALLY pay attention to ranges being played and by whom. At this point there is a big difference between someone who only shoves made hands versus someone who will shove speculative premium hands.
After a session, go through the hands you've lost around the bubble and determine what the cause of the loss was. If you had the better hand going in and just got sucked out, doin't worry it. Try to find the other hands where you bled unnecessarily. But if you didn't get your money in good, figure out what went wrong.
Cheers,
ObbleeXY