AKQ
Legend
Bronze Level
This is for very advanced Poker Players'
Playing against The Best in the business
So put away your streaming gear and close away your Poker software
get your pens ready and tell your Poker coaches/teachers AKQ is speaking.
I'm not holdin your hand or here to help you understand terms or line logic
I'm just gonna get on the mic and spit it ,whether you like to admit it, I'm better than 99.9% of these poker sharks out here
But no matter how many fish in the sea, It feels so empty without me
Against GTO Players and Loose Aggressive Winning MTT players
Stop Acting and start Re-acting
You don't need to be active or even really want to be against Great players that will react
i.e. stealing the blinds with a wide range(that is a mistake)
We make chips when they make the mistakes
against great players
they will spot our mistakes and capitalize on them by reacting
GTO and LAG will playback at you even wider when they suspect you are stealing from them
Modern players today even shove KQo now with some decent defense frequency hoping for fold equity
putting 22-JJ at a hard call and then a flip
Additionally having combo blockers(KQ) of AK AQ
which in turn makes it more likely for us to be holding AJ down.22-jj vs KQ
So if the SB or BB keeps shoving over your button steals
(they are reacting to your action)
You must either tighten up considerably to stop leaking chips
AK+ AQs
77+
OR (my favorite)
Call them down with A2o+ KQo or 22+ for a flip/ double up and not leak a single chip of premium EV
So now lets view it from the opposite instead of acting lets react
Shoving preflop against our villains button raise with KQ has alot of fold equity against a LAG or a PRO GTO retard
But what if the Maniac GTO PRO villian on the button is not going to fold to your preflop reaction.
and will instead call with 22+ A5+ preflop?????
why would they? how bad a player they must be, i hear you all cry.
Freerollers and fkin Donkeys
GTO MANIAC Mathematic Justification(GMMJ)
and Phill Hellmuths new secret butt plug
85o vs AK?? is 35%
if the maniac commits 10% of 25bb of his stack
2.5xbb-3x
stealing a pot of 5-6.5BB+ antes'
and gets shoved on by AK
31BB pot
22BB left in stack
fold= -3BB EV
calling makes an interesting situation (Lets examine)
53+ BB pot
we win 35% of the time at showdown
Since it is not a cash game ,
having slightly less required equity in the hand needed to call
is not as important as not leaking chips
since this is a MTT and we dont cash out till the end
over the course of the MTT
if you fold 3-6bbs(19-22bb) then flip as the 51% flip
stack size if win is 45BB
fold 3-6 bbs(39-42 bbs) then flip 51%
78BB
fold 6-12BB's
64+bbs then flip 49%
130 BB's
total odds to win 3 flips at 51%= 11.76%
4 flips 250 BB"S
5 flips 470bbs 3%
over the course of the MTT
if you raise 2.5x-3x,
then flip as the 35% underdog
stack increases up to 55BBs
then flips 35%
up to 115BB
then flip 35% three times 1/3 1/3 1/3
245BBs
4.28% chance or 1/27
525 BB 1/27 x 1/3= 1/81
1140bbs
1.23%
1.23% chance to win
45.6 times the initial starting stack
using 5 non premium hands and the inability to fold
in a 500 player MTT
every 100 of our entries
should net a top 9 final table
1.23% of the time
out of 500 entries
6.2 times we will final table with 45.6 starting stacks
6 x 45 = 270 stacks - 230 stacks EV
starting the FT with a top 4 stack theoretically
1st place taking 160+ entries
2nd 110
3rd 75
1st, 2nd , 3rd= 350
1st 1st 2nd 5th =500+~
2nd,3rd,3rd,5th,7th 9th=330
Lets go deeper into GMMJ theory shall we
Merry xmas to all you of you
whom is about to intellectually rip me off for their own personal gains
GTO MANIAC Mathematic Justification+(GMMJ+)
So you can easily understand how exponential math is far better than additive
the frequency of getting a 35% all in is much better,
since we dont have an A or a king in our hand(blockers) and we are known maniacs
The amount of combos that will call increase drastically AK 16 combos AQ 16 combos AJ 16 combos A10 16 combos a9 A8
AA 6 combos
KK
qq
jj
1010
99 36 combos that dominate us 85%
but we opened up 80 to 192+combos ofthe villians new calling/shoving range against us
by just letting him exploit us
by letting him see we are Maniacs
Which would work, IF we gave a **** about fold equity
and/or if we were treating our stack as an additive function and not an exponential
but now comes the doom GMMJ+
whats the number if we start with 25
steal 6bbs
31
then flip for 65 bbs at 35%
steal a few bbs
then flip for 150 bbs at 35%
steal a few then flip
330 bbs flip at 35%
700bbs flip at 35%
1500BB
25 bb starting
60 total initial stacks
1/3 x 1/3 x 1/3 =1/27x 1/3 = 1/81=1.23% you will have the Chip lead on the start of the FT
but what if we got lucky once and flipped once evenly
1/3x 1/2* x 2/3*x 1/3 x 1/3
2/6 x 3/6 x 4/6 x 2/6 x 2/6
3.70 % chance to be at 1500 BB's/ 60 initial stacks
3.7% x500 entries= 17 chip leading final tables
1st 2nd 3rd 1st 2nd 3rd 1st 2nd 3rd 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th
1150$
Playing against The Best in the business
So put away your streaming gear and close away your Poker software
get your pens ready and tell your Poker coaches/teachers AKQ is speaking.
I'm not holdin your hand or here to help you understand terms or line logic
I'm just gonna get on the mic and spit it ,whether you like to admit it, I'm better than 99.9% of these poker sharks out here
But no matter how many fish in the sea, It feels so empty without me
Against GTO Players and Loose Aggressive Winning MTT players
Stop Acting and start Re-acting
You don't need to be active or even really want to be against Great players that will react
i.e. stealing the blinds with a wide range(that is a mistake)
We make chips when they make the mistakes
against great players
they will spot our mistakes and capitalize on them by reacting
GTO and LAG will playback at you even wider when they suspect you are stealing from them
Modern players today even shove KQo now with some decent defense frequency hoping for fold equity
putting 22-JJ at a hard call and then a flip
Additionally having combo blockers(KQ) of AK AQ
which in turn makes it more likely for us to be holding AJ down.22-jj vs KQ
So if the SB or BB keeps shoving over your button steals
(they are reacting to your action)
You must either tighten up considerably to stop leaking chips
AK+ AQs
77+
OR (my favorite)
Call them down with A2o+ KQo or 22+ for a flip/ double up and not leak a single chip of premium EV
So now lets view it from the opposite instead of acting lets react
Shoving preflop against our villains button raise with KQ has alot of fold equity against a LAG or a PRO GTO retard
But what if the Maniac GTO PRO villian on the button is not going to fold to your preflop reaction.
and will instead call with 22+ A5+ preflop?????
why would they? how bad a player they must be, i hear you all cry.
Freerollers and fkin Donkeys
GTO MANIAC Mathematic Justification(GMMJ)
and Phill Hellmuths new secret butt plug
85o vs AK?? is 35%
if the maniac commits 10% of 25bb of his stack
2.5xbb-3x
stealing a pot of 5-6.5BB+ antes'
and gets shoved on by AK
31BB pot
22BB left in stack
fold= -3BB EV
calling makes an interesting situation (Lets examine)
53+ BB pot
we win 35% of the time at showdown
Since it is not a cash game ,
having slightly less required equity in the hand needed to call
is not as important as not leaking chips
since this is a MTT and we dont cash out till the end
over the course of the MTT
if you fold 3-6bbs(19-22bb) then flip as the 51% flip
stack size if win is 45BB
fold 3-6 bbs(39-42 bbs) then flip 51%
78BB
fold 6-12BB's
64+bbs then flip 49%
130 BB's
total odds to win 3 flips at 51%= 11.76%
4 flips 250 BB"S
5 flips 470bbs 3%
over the course of the MTT
if you raise 2.5x-3x,
then flip as the 35% underdog
stack increases up to 55BBs
then flips 35%
up to 115BB
then flip 35% three times 1/3 1/3 1/3
245BBs
4.28% chance or 1/27
525 BB 1/27 x 1/3= 1/81
1140bbs
1.23%
1.23% chance to win
45.6 times the initial starting stack
using 5 non premium hands and the inability to fold
in a 500 player MTT
every 100 of our entries
should net a top 9 final table
1.23% of the time
out of 500 entries
6.2 times we will final table with 45.6 starting stacks
6 x 45 = 270 stacks - 230 stacks EV
starting the FT with a top 4 stack theoretically
1st place taking 160+ entries
2nd 110
3rd 75
1st, 2nd , 3rd= 350
1st 1st 2nd 5th =500+~
2nd,3rd,3rd,5th,7th 9th=330
Lets go deeper into GMMJ theory shall we
Merry xmas to all you of you
whom is about to intellectually rip me off for their own personal gains
GTO MANIAC Mathematic Justification+(GMMJ+)
So you can easily understand how exponential math is far better than additive
the frequency of getting a 35% all in is much better,
since we dont have an A or a king in our hand(blockers) and we are known maniacs
The amount of combos that will call increase drastically AK 16 combos AQ 16 combos AJ 16 combos A10 16 combos a9 A8
AA 6 combos
KK
jj
1010
99 36 combos that dominate us 85%
but we opened up 80 to 192+combos ofthe villians new calling/shoving range against us
by just letting him exploit us
by letting him see we are Maniacs
Which would work, IF we gave a **** about fold equity
and/or if we were treating our stack as an additive function and not an exponential
but now comes the doom GMMJ+
whats the number if we start with 25
steal 6bbs
31
then flip for 65 bbs at 35%
steal a few bbs
then flip for 150 bbs at 35%
steal a few then flip
330 bbs flip at 35%
700bbs flip at 35%
1500BB
25 bb starting
60 total initial stacks
1/3 x 1/3 x 1/3 =1/27x 1/3 = 1/81=1.23% you will have the Chip lead on the start of the FT
but what if we got lucky once and flipped once evenly
1/3x 1/2* x 2/3*x 1/3 x 1/3
2/6 x 3/6 x 4/6 x 2/6 x 2/6
3.70 % chance to be at 1500 BB's/ 60 initial stacks
3.7% x500 entries= 17 chip leading final tables
1st 2nd 3rd 1st 2nd 3rd 1st 2nd 3rd 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th 5th
1150$
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