Late in tourney, small pocket pair

[Bombjack]

Not sure what you guys think about this.

Scenario: $10 MTT, 406 entrants. In the money (40th place and up). 25 players left, and there's another jump in prize money at 20th place. Now that we're through the bubble, players are dropping like flies.

1 $1,015.00
2 $609.00
3 $406.00
4 $324.80
5 $203.00
6 $162.40
7 $121.80
8 $81.20
9 $71.05
10 $50.75
11 $40.60
12 $40.60
13 $40.60
14 $40.60
15 $40.60
16 $40.60
17 $40.60
18 $40.60
19 $40.60
20 $40.60
21 $30.45
22 $30.45
23 $30.45
24 $30.45
25 $30.45

I've been shortstacked and my cards have been running cold.

The previous hand I was down to 6000 chips with the blinds at 800 and 1600, and I went all-in from the button, picking up the blinds and a limper's bet. My stack's now a little bit healthier at around 10,000.

This hand, I pick up 55 in the cut-off seat. It's folded round to me. Taking into account the (lack of) action so far, stacks of players left to act, my M of just over 4, and payout structure, do I go all-in and risk everything, raise to 4000, limp, or fold and wait for something that's not likely to be a coinflip or worse if called?

Hand 971614497, Started at 08/09/2006 23:10
Table 'Catania': 20-20 No Limit HE (TournamentChips)
Seat 0: Tilliechamp (1,340 in chips)
Seat 1: mainegal (11,060 in chips)
Seat 2: Bombjack_x (10,054 in chips)
Seat 3: dudee97 (5,293 in chips) (on the button)
Seat 4: dakmitos (54,091 in chips)
Seat 5: AMARNU (17,685 in chips)
Seat 6: K-Egge (11,162 in chips)
Seat 7: Reisistuta (35,590 in chips)
Seat 8: Neocronus (29,805 in chips)
Seat 9: babyimastar_ (7,996 in chips)
*** Blind Bet Round *** :
Dealt to Bombjack_x: 5♣ 5♠
dakmitos : Post Blind (800)
K-Egge : Post Blind (1,600)
*** Pre-Flop *** :
Reisistuta : Fold
Neocronus : Fold
babyimastar_ : Fold
Tilliechamp : Fold
mainegal : Fold
Bombjack_x : ????

 

[withawedge]

Tricky one.

Would be tempted to go AI but wary of seat 4 (dakmitos).

He can afford to call and still be the Chip Leader

Coin Flip between Fold/AI.

Flipped and I would go AI

:dontknow:

 

[ChuckTs]

I think this is mostly reads-dependant...if your opponents are gamblers then dump those 5s. If they're tight or passive, then obviously you should lean more towards pushing. Your table image is also important.

But ya...this is a tricky one :/

 

[Jack Daniels]

I'm going all in here. You are already in the money and are still way shortstacked with only 10K (6.5BB). You just pushed all in and picked up a pot with the table showing weakness by folding to you. Make a stand with the 55. If someone does call you, at least you do have real hand here to work with.

Yes, it is risky but you are very shortstacked, and if you don't make a stand soon, you will be blinded out soon enough. If you do pick it up, you have something to work with to make the bigger payouts.

 

[mrsnake3695]

I agree this is a push or fold. If you limp or make a small raise and someone puts you all in you have to call so if you're going to play the hand you might as well put them all in now to get the added value of getting others to fold marginal hands that would still be a coin flip to your 5s. If you limp and no 5 comes on the flop then what do you do? Wouldn't you hate to limp and get beat by the BB who has an 8 6 off suit and flops a 6.

Considering your chips and position, I would push here and actually I think you want to get in a race here to double up or go out. Who cares about the $10 extra for making 20th when 1st is $1000.00. The goal should be to win here so you need to gamble to get more chips, push and hope for the best.

 

[brutus]

push and pray

 

[chicubs1616]

Push. The pot is 1/4 of your stack from the blinds. You need chips. Folding is way too weak tight.